scoreboard: 2005 vs 1933...update

[weatherwindow]

with gert forming this morning, 05 continues to outdistance the big kahuna, 1933. as of tomorrow, this remarkable year will be two storms and 22!!! days ahead. the seventh storm of 1933 formed on 16 aug. however, not to paint to rosy a picture, the competition really gets nuts in aug and sept ...1933: 7 storm in august and 5 in sept. ....somehow, i doubt that 05 will keep up this pace thru the next 60 days. that said, 05 may pull it out in oct.. 1933 slowed to only three ns in oct and 1 late season hit in nov. IMHO, the western carib will be quite active in october based on its performance in june. there does appear to be some correlation between early season and late season activity in that basin ..sooooooo...my prediction is for 05 to fall behind in aug/sept and surge into the lead in october for a total of 23 ns....all the way to "beta" ................rich

[Ixolib]

with gert forming this morning, 05 continues to outdistance the big kahuna, 1933. as of tomorrow, this remarkable year will be two storms and 22!!! days ahead. the seventh storm of 1933 formed on 16 aug. however, not to paint to rosy a picture, the competition really gets nuts in aug and sept ...1933: 7 storm in august and 5 in sept. ....somehow, i doubt that 05 will keep up this pace thru the next 60 days. that said, 05 may pull it out in oct.. 1933 slowed to only three ns in oct and 1 late season hit in nov. IMHO, the western carib will be quite active in october based on its performance in june. there does appear to be some correlation between early season and late season activity. ..sooooooo...my prediction is for 05 to fall behind in aug/sept and surge into the lead in october for a total of 23 ns....all the way to "beta" ................rich

Can you put that in graphical form??

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Come on 2005 you can do it. What I think is we will have a slight down trade for the next 2 weeks. Maybe still a weak tropical storm or so. Then we will go back up into a very active pattern by mid August through Early October.

I think...
August 5 named storms
Sept 8 named storms
Oct 3 named storms
Nov 1 named storm


So 24 named storms....

I hope this year kicks 1933 into the trash!!!

[weatherwindow]

definitely NOT grafixman ...where is moskitobite when i need him ............................rich

[johngaltfla]

Alpha and Beta?

Argh.

[HouTXmetro]

What's the record for landfalling US/MX storms?

[EDR1222]

Unless something causes a big lull, you would have to think August and September are going to be very active.

1933 could be in big trouble!

[Astro_man92]

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at1933.asp

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2005.asp

here are the maps for the 1933 and the 2005 atlantic season so far

[WeatherEmperor]

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at1933.asp

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2005.asp

here are the maps for the 1933 and the 2005 atlantic season so far

that 1933 map is insane. Its hard to grasp the fact that 2005 might be very similar.

<RICKY>

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If this year is going for that record. So I say let it break the record...

[WeatherEmperor]

If this year is going for that record. So I say let it break the record...

Sure why not? That record has been around for way too long. Its time a new one replaces it. Question is if 2005 breaks the record, will there ever be a season that breaks that one? hmmm

<RICKY>

[Astro_man92]

i don't think another season would would come this close to breaking record again if the 2005 breaks it or not.

but there is always next year

[Josephine96]

Records are meant to be broken

[MGC]

1933 likely had a few additional unreported storms form way out in the Atlantic. Unless a ship ran into one many mid-ocean storm went unreported. I think the 1933 record is safe......MGC

[Hurricaneman]

We really dont know how many unreported storms there were in 1933

[Astro_man92]

then if the 2005 atlantic season has more reported storms then the 1933 atlantic storm season then if it deosn't actually break the record for most named storms. it wil possibly break the record for most reported storms

maybe if we go 5 over the record we can consider it to be the most active storm season

[Hurricaneman]

I agree with that statement

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I think it would be very interesting if this season can hold this level of activty. Into October to beat the record. But could it?

[Hurricaneman]

I think it would be very interesting if this season can hold this level of activty. Into October to beat the record. But could it?

I definately could

[ict1523]

I honestly don't see a slowdown and I think this season will definately put 1933 in jeopardy.