Gert Advisories=10 AM CDT,Last Advisore written

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM GERT ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005

...CENTER OF GERT MOVES INLAND JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO...HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER EASTERN MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD
TO LA PESCA. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON MONDAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES... 30 KM...SOUTHWEST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.

GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
SOME SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE
CENTER OF GERT FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED BY HURRICANE
EMILY.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...22.0 N... 98.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

KNHC 250236
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM GERT DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2005

REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT...
ALONG WITH SATELLITE...INDICATE THAT GERT WAS STARTING TO INTENSIFY
AS IT MADE LANDFALL AT ABOUT 0000Z. WHILE THE CENTER STAYED
BROAD...THE NOAA AIRCRAFT MEASURED FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 53 KT AT
11000 FT AT 2053Z...AND THE AIR FORCE PLANE MEASURED 47 KT AT 850
MB ON SEVERAL OCCASIONS AROUND 00Z. THE AIR FORCE PLANE COULD NOT
QUITE REACH THE CENTER...BUT EXTRAPOLATED A PRESSURE OF 1006 MB
JUST EAST OF THE CENTER. THIS DATA IS THE BASIS FOR THE LANDFALL
INTENSITY OF 40 KT AND 1005 MB.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 295/10. GERT SHOULD CONTINUE THIS TRACK ON
THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG LOW-MID/LEVEL RIDGE UNTIL THE CYCLONE
DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO IN 24-36 HR.

IT SHOULD BE STRESSED THAT THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS
RAINFALL...AND RAINS FROM GERT WILL REACH SOME OF THE AREAS EARLIER
AFFECTED BY EMILY...WHICH WOULD POSE AN INCREASED FLOOD THREAT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 25/0300Z 22.0N 98.1W 40 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 25/1200Z 22.5N 99.3W 35 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 26/0000Z 23.1N 100.9W 25 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING
36HR VT 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

[Brent]

*Yawn* See ya' in 2011...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 250536
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

...GERT WEAKENS AT IT MOVES INLAND...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER
EASTERN MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PALMA SOLA NORTHWARD
TO LA PESCA. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS
MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GERT WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.6 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES... 75 KM...WEST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.

GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
SOME SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE
CENTER OF GERT FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. GERT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY OVER WATER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS PREVIOUSLY AFFECTED BY HURRICANE
EMILY.

REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...22.3 N... 98.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[P.K.]

000
WTNT42 KNHC 250836
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GERT DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

TAMPICO RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF GERT CONTINUES
MOVING INLAND...WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATED TO BE 280/10.
THIS GENERAL TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE CENTER DISSIPATES
WITHIN 24 HOURS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO. IT SHOULD BE
STRESSED THAT THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM IS RAINFALL...
WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 25/0900Z 22.4N 99.1W 30 KT
12HR VT 25/1800Z 22.7N 100.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

--------------------------------------------------

000
WTNT22 KNHC 250834
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072005
0900Z MON JUL 25 2005

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 99.1W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 99.1W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 98.6W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 22.7N 100.8W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Lowpressure]

I agree witht he *Yawn* post. Ho hum. Flood threat may be a little serious however in parts effected by Emily.

[Andrew92]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 251432
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GERT ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2005

...GERT DISSIPATING...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GERT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 100.6 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES... 280 KM... WEST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...GERT OR ITS REMNANT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE OVER MEXICO TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GERT IS DISSIPATING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 8 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...22.6 N...100.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GERT.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


Gert,

Don't let that door hit you on the way out! See ya in 2011.

[cycloneye]

Rest In Peace.

[EDR1222]

See you in 2011 Gert!