When it could get busy: *Tentative* Timeline for Waves

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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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When it could get busy: *Tentative* Timeline for Waves

#1 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:29 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Here's a timeline for our intro into CV season; NONE of these are gauranteed to develop, but these are general timelines whether or not they develop. This is subject to change based on movement, and is thus tentative.

It's going to get busy between Thursday and Saturday, and continue for...


Start Time: 1200 AM Tuesday July 26th 2005

Well, the first wave cluster is 8-10 days away from an average North-South Line drawn through the SE US, 5-6 days from Puerto Rico's longitude, but may be interesting as soon as Tuesday.

The second cluster, about to move off Africa, will likely catch our attention as an invest by Thursday, and is about 15 days away from SE US, 10-11 days away from the longitude through Puerto Rico.

The colossal cluster currently across the African Continent is about 19 days away from the imaginary longitudal average line through SE US, 14-15 days from the longitude through Puerto Rico, and may catch our attention my next Saturday-Sunday.
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#2 Postby Swimdude » Mon Jul 25, 2005 10:41 pm

Whew... We'll see what happens. I doubt all three will have fanfare, but you never know.
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#3 Postby Fego » Tue Jul 26, 2005 12:03 am

Well that's an aggressive and long projection and considering that the three "forecast" mention Puerto Rico, I hope your analysis just don't materialize.
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Re: When it could get busy: *Tentative* Timeline for Waves

#4 Postby Jim Hughes » Tue Jul 26, 2005 6:51 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Here's a timeline for our intro into CV season; NONE of these are gauranteed to develop, but these are general timelines whether or not they develop. This is subject to change based on movement, and is thus tentative.

It's going to get busy between Thursday and Saturday, and continue for...


Start Time: 1200 AM Tuesday July 26th 2005

Well, the first wave cluster is 8-10 days away from an average North-South Line drawn through the SE US, 5-6 days from Puerto Rico's longitude, but may be interesting as soon as Tuesday.

The second cluster, about to move off Africa, will likely catch our attention as an invest by Thursday, and is about 15 days away from SE US, 10-11 days away from the longitude through Puerto Rico.

The colossal cluster currently across the African Continent is about 19 days away from the imaginary longitudal average line through SE US, 14-15 days from the longitude through Puerto Rico, and may catch our attention my next Saturday-Sunday.



Well this is somewhat like the forecast that I made about a week ago in the TWC forum. I gave the time frames of 7/27/21z and 7/31/12z for increased intensifcation and or tropical development. I see you just joined the forum recentlyalso. Are you the same Tampa Bay Hurricane from over there? If you are then you know that I base most of my forecasts on the influence of space weather upon the tropics.
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#5 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Jul 26, 2005 8:13 am

I use puerto rico only as a longitudinal reference, I never say that it will actually move over Puerto Rico.

Jim Hughes- yup I'm the same TB Hurricane Chaser from TWC Messageboards.
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#6 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Jul 26, 2005 10:55 am

So far, the waves emerging from Africa are losing thunderstorm activity once they come off the coast. The wave near 10 n and 40 w seems to have held together pretty well however.

And the one that just came off today looks good, but it has not been over water very long. Interesting days ahead.
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