WATS UP - July 26, 2005

[dhweather]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as
such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed
by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional
institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to
the NHC and NWS products.




I came up with a nifty acronym for this:

Western Atlantic Tropical Summary - WATS

So here's WATS up for today, July 26, 2005



<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/wats20050726.jpg">

Franklin continues to become entrained with dry air and an increasingly
hostile upper level environment will eventually lead to Franklin
dissapating in 2-3 days.

A tropical wave over Central America continues to move westward with
no development expected.

A second tropical wave south of Haiti continues moving westward
with no convection due to the extremely dry environment dominating the
Caribbean Sea right now. There are two large areas of very dry air,
circled in yellow, combined with the dust from the Saharan Desert, over
the Caribbean Sea and Western Atlantic.

There's an upper level low near 27N 52W that will not develop into a
tropical system.

Finally, the question - what will come of the wave approaching near
10N 39W? The wave will continue moving west-northwest and might
develop in the next few days. Stay tuned!

That's WATS up today.


Comments welcomed.


David

[EDR1222]

I wonder if the SAL will persist long enough to have an effect on the wave near 10 n 40 w. I have noticed the wave that just came off Africa yesterday lost thunderstorm activity fairly quick, but there is also another one that just came off the coast. I guess we will see if that one can hold together.

[dhweather]

The wave just SW of the Cape Verde Islands looks very healthy so far.

Eventually, and sooner than later, these will quit going "poof", and develop
in the far eastern atlantic.

[Ixolib]

The wave just SW of the Cape Verde Islands looks very healthy so far.

Eventually, and sooner than later, these will quit going "poof", and develop
in the far eastern atlantic.

Historically speaking, what kind of SAL conditions can we expect AFTER this particular batch completes its trans-atlantic crossing?

[dhweather]

Good question - I don't think there's a good prediciton system for the SAL, nor any historical correlations.

[Swimdude]

Haha awesome acronym. Nice map as well... Shouldn't 92L be labeled as such?

[dhweather]

When the center gets into the frame, I'll probably label it.
Right now, it's still a bit east for the WATS up update