92L Recon Reports

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cycloneye
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92L Recon Reports

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:20 am

This afternoon the first mission will go to 92L.Will they find a TD or still a wave/
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Jul 29, 2005 9:18 pm, edited 6 times in total.
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#2 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:21 am

Time frame?
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#3 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:21 am

I don't see anything to fly out to, just an open wave. Can't even find the weak mid and low-level centers today.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:21 am

ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (LESSER ANTILLES)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 29/2000Z
B. AFXXX 01FFA INVEST
C. 29/1430Z
D. 18.5N 62.0W
E. 29/1930Z TO 29/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
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#5 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:25 am

Im gonna side with Derek on this one. I just dont see enough evidence to warrent upgrading to TD.

<RICKY>
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#6 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:27 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:Im gonna side with Derek on this one. I just dont see enough evidence to warrent upgrading to TD.

<RICKY>
And neither does anyone else?
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#7 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:29 am

gkrangers wrote:Time frame?


4pm EDT arrival.
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#8 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:32 am

gkrangers wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:Im gonna side with Derek on this one. I just dont see enough evidence to warrent upgrading to TD.

<RICKY>
And neither does anyone else?


I dont know you tell me. Im not a mind reader. Whats on your mind?

<RICKY>
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#9 Postby bvigal » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:34 am

Antigua
11 AM (15) Jul 29 84 (29) 80 (27) 29.97 (1015) S 9
10 AM (14) Jul 29 82 (28) 77 (25) 29.91 (1013) S 9
9 AM (13) Jul 29 80 (27) 78 (26) 29.94 (1014) S 9
8 AM (12) Jul 29 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.94 (1014) S 6 light rain
7 AM (11) Jul 29 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.91 (1013) S 12 light rain
6 AM (10) Jul 29 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.91 (1013) S 7

St. Kitts:
11 AM (15) Jul 29 82 (28) 77 (25) 29.94 (1014) S 3
10 AM (14) Jul 29 82 (28) 78 (26) 29.94 (1014) E 3
9 AM (13) Jul 29 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.91 (1013) N 5
8 AM (12) Jul 29 80 (27) 77 (25) 29.91 (1013) E 9
7 AM (11) Jul 29 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.91 (1013) NE 9
6 AM (10) Jul 29 78 (26) 77 (25) 29.91 (1013) ENE 14 light rain showers

St. Maarten:
11 AM (15) Jul 29 84 (29) 75 (24) 29.97 (1015) E 10
10 AM (14) Jul 29 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.97 (1015) E 12
9 AM (13) Jul 29 84 (29) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) ENE 16
8 AM (12) Jul 29 82 (28) 73 (23) 29.97 (1015) ENE 14
7 AM (11) Jul 29 80 (27) 73 (23) 29.94 (1014) ENE 14
6 AM (10) Jul 29 78 (26) 71 (22) 29.94 (1014) ENE 21
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#10 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:51 am

It seems like an open wave more than anything else. I don't suspect any closed low level vortex. On top of that conditions don't seem to really favor much tropical development anyway with an upper low situated to the north of the antillies. Environmental conditions aloft don't seem that favorable at least from what I see.

But we're not even at August 1st and we already have 7 named storms under our belt, something which we never seen before because it's the earliest we ever had 7 named storms. The average date for 7 named storms in the Atlantic Basin is September 23rd.

Jim
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#11 Postby x-y-no » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:52 am

I don't see any sign that it's going to close off a circulation this afternoon. Maybe tonight or tomorrow, we'll see.
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#12 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:57 am

i agree it doesnt look like much now, but we all know how fast things happen, could blow up at any moment
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#13 Postby Frank2 » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:19 am

Don't forget that the NHC stated that recon is "scheduled" to investigate the area this afternoon, so, the flight is still up in the air at this time (oops), and subject to cancellation.

I still find the TWO hard to understand - if I wasn't looking at the satellite loop, I'd be upset at their wording, which makes the system sound much more than it is.

Frank
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#14 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:34 am

I agree that it doesn't look like much right now but what is going to happen down the road in a couple of days when and if it gets in more favorable waters and environment for development.
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#15 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:41 am

OB 01
Time: 1549Z
Position: 27.9 North // 85.9 West
Flight Level: 7590 meters
FL Winds: 5 kts
Temp/Dewpoint (C): -20/-32
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 Millibar Height: 7630 meters

URNT11 KNHC 291554
97779 15494 60279 85900 75900 99005 70821 /5763
RMK AF304 01FFA INVEST OB 01

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#16 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:42 am

clfenwi wrote:OB 01

279 859
RMK AF304 01FFA INVEST OB 01



Long trip, 27.9 N 85.9 W.
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:43 am

HURAKAN wrote:
clfenwi wrote:OB 01

279 859
RMK AF304 01FFA INVEST OB 01



Long trip, 27.9 N 85.9 W.


Around 4 PM they will get there.
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#18 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:52 am

Really seems like a waste of fuel...

Crews must be getting bored after having 2-3 days off. :)
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#19 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 29, 2005 12:01 pm

OB 02
Time: 1620Z
Position: 27.0 North // 83.0 West
Flight Level: 7590 meters
FL Winds: 5 knots
Temp/Dewpoint (C): -20/-45
Weather: Scattered clouds
400 Millibar Height: 7630 meters

URNT11 KNHC 291622
97779 16204 60270 83000 75900 99005 70951 /5763
RMK AF304 01FFA INVEST OB 02




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#20 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 29, 2005 12:05 pm

Why can't they leave from St. Croix? It's practically overhead. :wink:
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