We are getting Very Close to a Center Now

#41 Postby **EDR1222** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:30 pm

This system has been strange. It looks like it is coming together then it looks very unorganized only a few hours later. It definately does look like something is going on with it now however!

#42 Postby **Frank P** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:32 pm

I agree its getting close, I just have not yet been about to discern any real western component with the rain bands... but that could get cranking at any moment... something to watch for in the near future .. the rotation from the SE, E and NE quite evident however...

wxmann_91 · #43 Postby **wxmann_91** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:32 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:AWWWWWW!!!!! You have to but it!!?!?!?!?!?!?

If you mean buy, no you don't. You can use it for free. All you do is download the free trial. If you have any more questions about it then PM me (I've a few tricks up my sleeve :lol:

).

DESTRUCTION5 · #44 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:32 pm

MWatkins wrote:SJU longrange supports at least a broad mid-level circulation...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml

Again I think it's very close...it may not be there yet...but the upper environment will get better.

One thing to note...the advisories on Franklin were out awful early...

MW

Whats on your mind MW?

Huckster · #45 Postby **Huckster** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:34 pm

mike18xx wrote:This thing has junk spread across 15 degrees of longtitude. It's a big open wave, and tomorrow it'll have its guts ripped out by the Dominican Republic.

An encounter with the Dominican Republic does not guarantee a tropical system's death; i.e., it does not guarantee it'll get its guts ripped out. I guess it's possible that could happen, but whether or not something is killed be the DP is usually determined by how strong the system is and how fast it's moving. Given that this is a wave and that it's moving very quickly, I bet it will survive, but I wouldn't be too optimistic about anything until it gets past Hispaniola.

#46 Postby **MWatkins** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:38 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
MWatkins wrote:SJU longrange supports at least a broad mid-level circulation...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml

Again I think it's very close...it may not be there yet...but the upper environment will get better.

One thing to note...the advisories on Franklin were out awful early...

MW

Whats on your mind MW?

As for the radar presentation there are clearly weak but pronounced banded radar returns there…especially to the west of where the circulation appears to be…and these echos have become better defined in the last hour or so. Hard to see what’s happening on the other side even with the long range…

As far as the advisories go…they may have gotten the Franklin stuff out of the way to save time to write an advisory if they have to. Just noting that they got that package out pretty early…not sure if it really means anything either…but it’s interesting.

MW

#47 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:42 pm

dhweather wrote:Sky - what background are you using? Mine cuts off in the middle of Puerto Rico!

I'm using the satellite one from allisonhouse

DH...it's on allisonhouse also. It's rather new though. I believe it's name has "brown" in it.

#48 Postby **dhweather** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:46 pm

<img src="http://www.diamondheadweather.com/pr.jpg">

Here's what I see going on (grlevel3 screenshot)

Typhoon_Willie · #49 Postby **Typhoon_Willie** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:56 pm

Looks interesting! I guess we will have to wait and see what Recon confirms!

#50 Postby **Blown Away** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 3:59 pm

Most of you have satellite bug eyes by now! I last looked at the loop around 1pm, it does look better now! It seems like it's consolidating near St. Croix! IMO

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html

#51 Postby **msbee** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:09 pm

thanks sky and dh

#52 Postby **shortwave** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:14 pm

under/across/or over(north) hispanola?

rockyman · #53 Postby **rockyman** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:16 pm

Nice curvature developing (white lines added by me)

Astro_man92 · #54 Postby **Astro_man92** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:19 pm

how do you people draw on the images in paint because I already know the print screen button technyce

boca · #55 Postby **boca** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:34 pm

Explain how a center can form if this system is spread out over 15 degrees longitude. I see the rotation by St Croix,but how can this develop if its so long going east to west.

Website · #56 Postby **Brent** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:35 pm

Looks like whatever is there will get ripped to pieces by Hispanola.

wxmann_91 · #57 Postby **wxmann_91** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:37 pm

boca wrote:Explain how a center can form if this system is spread out over 15 degrees longitude. I see the rotation by St Croix,but how can this develop if its so long going east to west.

Have the convection to the east die, and the convection around the LLC be more organized, and then a TD or TS can form. Of course, that can't happen with all the shear right now.

boca · #58 Postby **boca** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:40 pm

That makes sense to me now,but I think this will stay a wave.

Astro_man92 · #59 Postby **Astro_man92** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:40 pm

(This post must be deleted ecause it composed a question answered in a nother thread)(thank you)(fact is I can't delete it

)

gkrangers · #60 Postby **gkrangers** » Fri Jul 29, 2005 4:41 pm

Astro_man92 wrote:Can some one define this please:

I think it came from invest 92L

7/29/2005 6:00:00 PM UTC
7/29/2005 2:00:00 PM EDT

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.2N LONCUR = 64.5W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 16.7N LONM12 = 61.5W DIRM12 = 277DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 16.5N LONM24 = 59.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

This question was already answered in the other thread you posted it in.

We are getting Very Close to a Center Now

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