Homegrown? Naked circulation developing in GOM!!!!!!!

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Stormcenter
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#41 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 29, 2005 9:33 pm

stormcloud wrote:Pressures in the Gulf are very high, but not out of the question for some sort of development. I hate to see any kind of a wind shift in the Gulf this time of year...


What do mean by the last statement in your post?
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#42 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 29, 2005 9:36 pm

Eh theres now way that forms into something....no convection and too much shear.
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#43 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 29, 2005 9:57 pm

Normandy wrote:Eh theres now way that forms into something....no convection and too much shear.


Oh please stop with all the negativity. :lol:
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#44 Postby canetracker » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:38 pm

Our mets here in New Orleans are saying, "if" and when it develops, development should be around Monroe, LA , perhaps late Saturday or Sunday and it should skirt west into Texas.
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#45 Postby jasons2k » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:45 pm

canetracker wrote:Our mets here in New Orleans are saying, "if" and when it develops, development should be around Monroe, LA , perhaps late Saturday or Sunday and it should skirt west into Texas.


I'm confused with this....Monroe is on I-20 well inland...
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#46 Postby canetracker » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:48 pm

oops.... Morgan City, not Monroe!
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#47 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:49 pm

My brother (in N.O.) said the local Fox affliliate weatherman there said that a low would develop south of the MS/AL coastline and basically stay stationary for a few days. He didn't say whether or not it would strenghthen into a tropical storm.
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#48 Postby jasons2k » Fri Jul 29, 2005 10:55 pm

canetracker wrote:oops.... Morgan City, not Monroe!


Ahh, thx for the clarification, and welcome to S2K!
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#49 Postby canetracker » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:00 pm

The particular met you are referring to, Bob Breck, goes against the grain, even with the NHC. WWLTV in New Orleans, John Gumm, posted his thoughts: "It may develop somewhere south of Morgan City and drift west. It will be very weak and won't have much impact on our weather, IF it even develops. Some models show it, some don't. Less seem to be showing it today."
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#50 Postby canetracker » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:14 pm

jschlitz wrote:
canetracker wrote:oops.... Morgan City, not Monroe!


Ahh, thx for the clarification, and welcome to S2K!


Thanks for the welcome. Look forward to chatting with you all!
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#51 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:28 pm

Being along the al coast I don't think I heard our weather man say anything. The only thing he talked a little about was the activity out in the Atlantic and Carribean.
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#52 Postby mobilebay » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:51 pm

beachbum_al wrote:Being along the al coast I don't think I heard our weather man say anything. The only thing he talked a little about was the activity out in the Atlantic and Carribean.

Thats because the NHC has not mentioned it. You won't here one word locally until the NHC mentions the area. These local Mets just repeat what the NHC say's.
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I heard on WPMI at 10pm

#53 Postby westbury » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:56 pm

The met. on WPMI, David Glen did mention the low pressure system south of Mobile. He said that we should keep an eye on it, but no immediate development.
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Re: I heard on WPMI at 10pm

#54 Postby mobilebay » Fri Jul 29, 2005 11:58 pm

westbury wrote:The met. on WPMI, David Glen did mention the low pressure system south of Mobile. He said that we should keep an eye on it, but no immediate development.

David Glenn is the best Mobile has on TV, no doubt about that. In my opinion John Edd Thompson is the worst Local Met in the Country.
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Re: I heard on WPMI at 10pm

#55 Postby Ivanhater » Sat Jul 30, 2005 12:02 am

mobilebay wrote:
westbury wrote:The met. on WPMI, David Glen did mention the low pressure system south of Mobile. He said that we should keep an eye on it, but no immediate development.

David Glenn is the best Mobile has on TV, no doubt about that. In my opinion John Edd Thompson is the worst Local Met in the Country.



not any worse than allen strum
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#56 Postby WindRunner » Sat Jul 30, 2005 8:09 am

It's a nice circulation, but not much will happen without the formation of some more clouds around it. It's also a little to close to the coast to develop if you ask me.
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#57 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Jul 30, 2005 12:06 pm

Convection is looking much stronger today on the eastern side. If the Low moves a bit south and convection begins to wrap this will get very interesting.
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#58 Postby Frank P » Sat Jul 30, 2005 12:11 pm

actually it appears that the center of the broad area of counterclockwise rotating clouds is just north of mobile, I don't want to call it low pressure because I can't find any low pressure yet... looks to be more at the mid levels if anything... you can see the low level clouds in the NE GOM off the panhandle starting to be pulled northerly towards the coast from the south and south southwest, indications that it might be trying to work itself down to the surface... this system right now looks more impressive than 92L
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#59 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Jul 30, 2005 12:19 pm

Is that the ULL to it's SE or do I see banding starting to occur on the Southeast side?


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#60 Postby Steve » Sat Jul 30, 2005 12:25 pm

You have to fix the link, but there is circulation there.

You can see an overview on the Mobile and NW FL Long Range Loops. On the Mobile loop, you can see the storms in Central Mississippi and SE LA going one way with the storms to the east feeding in. Overall broad circulation seems to be centered over land per the radar.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmob.shtml

And some banding (mid-level?) shows up east and south of Panama City.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kevx.shtml

Steve
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