91C Invest at CPAC

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cycloneye
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91C Invest at CPAC

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 30, 2005 11:28 am

Image

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (CP912005) ON 20050730 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050730 1200 050731 0000 050731 1200 050801 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 11.5N 140.5W 11.8N 143.4W 12.2N 146.3W 12.7N 149.2W
BAMM 11.5N 140.5W 11.8N 143.1W 12.1N 145.6W 12.5N 148.3W
LBAR 11.5N 140.5W 11.6N 143.4W 12.1N 146.7W 12.7N 150.2W
SHIP 20KTS 25KTS 31KTS 36KTS
DSHP 20KTS 25KTS 31KTS 36KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050801 1200 050802 1200 050803 1200 050804 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.3N 152.1W 14.2N 157.7W 15.0N 162.7W 16.3N 166.8W
BAMM 13.0N 151.2W 13.9N 157.0W 14.7N 162.6W 15.7N 167.4W
LBAR 13.3N 153.7W 14.5N 160.1W 15.1N 165.0W .0N .0W
SHIP 41KTS 49KTS 50KTS 48KTS
DSHP 41KTS 49KTS 50KTS 48KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.5N LONCUR = 140.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 11.4N LONM12 = 138.5W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 11.2N LONM24 = 135.1W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1012MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 50NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM


This was the same system that was 95E invest at EPAC but as it passed the 140w longitud now it is a Central Pacific system responsability of the Honululu NWS.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST SAT JUL 30 2005

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

An area of disturbed weather relocated near 11°N 141°W, OR about 1160 miles east southeast of hilo, hawaii, moved west at 10 to 15 mph. This system showed roughly the same level of organization as it did 24 hours ago, and further slow development may be possible.

Elsewhere in the central north pacific, no Tropical Cyclones are expected through early Monday morning.

Ryshko.
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Derek Ortt

#2 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 30, 2005 11:45 am

thats the feature that probably bears the most watching as it is the one that is closest to the USA with the greatest chance of development
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#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Jul 30, 2005 11:47 am

you mean close to Hawaii right?

<RICKY>
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#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 30, 2005 11:48 am

yes, Hawaii is a part of the USA
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#5 Postby Andrew92 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 2:34 pm

Ioke is the next name for a CPAC system.

-Andrew92
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:18 pm

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#7 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:21 pm

That was fast..... Will the CPAC finally get a named storm? It has been around 33 months since Huko in Oct. of 2002. It is still somewhat organized, though. Surprised they dropped it.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:24 pm

Hurricanehink wrote:That was fast..... Will the CPAC finally get a named storm? It has been around 33 months since Huko in Oct. of 2002. It is still somewhat organized, though. Surprised they dropped it.


Wow I dont follow that basin but is that is why the basin is the most inactive in the world.Really it has been that long without a storm hink?
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Derek Ortt

#9 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:29 pm

Hawaii was under watches and warnings from Jimena in 2003. Huko may have ben the last to form in the basin, but not the last storm in the basin
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#10 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:30 pm

Thanks Derek for the info
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#11 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:32 pm

I think I heard somewhere that there was a ridge over hawii during the huricane season so they never really get hurricanes?
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#12 Postby Aslkahuna » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:49 pm

Actually, it's a high latitude trough with Trades below it. Consequently there's too much shear.

Steve
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#13 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Jul 30, 2005 3:50 pm

Makes sense :D
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