ITCZ Wave 1008mb: RAMSDIS Floater Moved

[wxcrazytwo]

Easy baby. Didn't this wave just leave the coast? Hmm, wemight see a depression rather than an invest.

[drezee]

Ship reported 1008 pressure with light NNE winds at 12z

Ship 200 miles east reported SSW winds

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/t-03/at ... alysis.png

[Scorpion]

And this isnt even an invest yet??

[WeatherEmperor]

I sincerely hope you all have become close friends with Starbucks cause from now on we aint gonna get much sleep. I warned ya'll....

<RICKY>

[cycloneye]

Ship reported 1008 pressure with light NNE winds at 12z

Ship 200 miles east reported SSW winds

Post those ship reports.

[txwatcher91]

I think this one is very close to tropical depression status.

[JTD]

Ship reported 1008 pressure with light NNE winds at 12z

Ship 200 miles east reported SSW winds

http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/t-03/at ... alysis.png

[drezee]

Ship reported 1008 pressure with light NNE winds at 12z

Ship 200 miles east reported SSW winds

Post those ship reports.

To keep my posting ability:

03/12 DFRZ 12.2 -22.9 26.0 23.7 200 2 1013.5 0.5 DFRZ
SSW wind

03/12 A8AT7 9.0 -25.8 25.0 21.4 190 14 1013.5 -0.5 28.0 A8AT7
Just W of Due S

03/12 A8FZ5 12.2 -27.8 29.2 27.7 030 5 1008.1 1.0 27.0 A8FZ5
NNE wind

[wxman57]

Here's a 15Z visible image. Definitley looks like a circulation center is developing in the vicinityh of 12.2N/28.4W. This is the wave that the GFS has been developing (and moving out to sea to the northwest)

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/irene1.gif">

[BensonTCwatcher]

Yep another frame or two would help but...check the 3 image zoom

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastfull.html

[Andrew92]

All I can say is.....

I actually hope it develops and is a fish. That way, the "I" storm trend dies. And I am including that I hope it hits not even one island.

And I think this one has a chance to do so.

-Andrew92

[wxman57]

Here's a McIdas image from 15Z with 1 deg lat/lon lines plotted. It needs to move another 3-4 deg west so that it shows up fullly on the northern hemisphere satellite shots and not just the full disks.

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/irene2.gif">

[drezee]

Great pic wxman

[shaggy]

well i am sure any slight development and we will have to hear 50 reasons why its going to threaten florida or become a Gommer storm.Its way to early to even speculate if this will develop into anything more than what it is now.The only thing for sure is that this is the best looking wave so far off the coast of Africa!

[jasons2k]

Here's a McIdas image from 15Z with 1 deg lat/lon lines plotted. It needs to move another 3-4 deg west so that it shows up fullly on the northern hemisphere satellite shots and not just the full disks.

OK, from that perspective it looks like it is definately getting some banding and organizing. Might be time to restock the coffee.

[drezee]

Here's a McIdas image from 15Z with 1 deg lat/lon lines plotted. It needs to move another 3-4 deg west so that it shows up fullly on the northern hemisphere satellite shots and not just the full disks.

OK, from that perspective it looks like it is definately getting some banding and organizing. Might be time to restock the coffee.

How do you take your coffee? Cuz, it's a long way til November...

[JTD]

Wxman47,

I hate to put you on the spot big time (trust me I do) but I have a question:

Is this wave extremely unlikely to be a threat to CONUS and only be worth watching from a scientific point of view?

[drezee]

Great floater of Wave! First 5 frames...

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

No doubt about it, we've got a spinner!!

[shaggy]

this one better do something cause the pipeline is quiet after this last wave that came off

http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/pdus/AV/200 ... 0AV1_g.jpg

[floridahurricaneguy]

Last two were fish unless you count harvey heading for bermuda. Anyways hopefully this aint a fish. We need something to track. haha

Matt