95L Invest Thread

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tracyswfla
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#21 Postby tracyswfla » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:42 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Chocolate milk...make it nice and cold. It suppresses headaches that are caused by lack of sleep, and also wakes you up big time.


LOL good choice! :D
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Derek Ortt

#22 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:43 pm

based upon the QS, this is a TD without question. It has the closed circ with 25KT winds. If I were the forecaster at NHC, this would be called at 11
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#23 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:43 pm

Derek I will take your word for it. It certainly looks like a TD :D
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#24 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:44 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:based upon the QS, this is a TD without question. It has the closed circ with 25KT winds. If I were the forecaster at NHC, this would be called at 11


I say 5 AM
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#25 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:45 pm

Looks like a TD to me too...
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#26 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:45 pm

mmm hmm, i had my suspensions it was
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#27 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:45 pm

Is it just me or is this thing moving only very slowly?
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#28 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:46 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Is it just me or is this thing moving only very slowly?


It certainly isn't speeding west like they normally do. I think it's moving about half that.
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#29 Postby tailgater » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:47 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dataimages21/cur_hires/zooms/WMBds124.png

this feature has a closed surface circulation

Pretty well defined I say, also take a look at@ 12n 20 W not too shabby either.
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#30 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:47 pm

Looks like it's moving at just 7-10 kt. Any official data on movement??
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#31 Postby feederband » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:47 pm

Maybe another monster in the making ?? Stay tuned.... 8-)
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#32 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:48 pm

The long range models linked by x-y-no in another forum seem to want to develop 12 n and 20 w as well.
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#33 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:49 pm

Given the slow movement of both systems, development could take place quickly. How are the ssts around 95L?
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UKMET Model Run

#34 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:49 pm

here is the ukmet model run earlier today. The other models seem to move this thing due west or just north of west.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_50.gif

This was a while ago but, it was today and it's the only thing i can find.
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#35 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:49 pm

A keeper for sure! :eek:
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#36 Postby clfenwi » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:49 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Is it just me or is this thing moving only very slowly?


The Tropical Weather Discussions have been giving a forward speed of 10 knots//15 mph.
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#37 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:50 pm

Thank you for the movement info :D
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#38 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:50 pm

slow movement may indicate the ridge is not that strong, usually they move fast because they are running under the south end of the ridge
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#39 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:51 pm

Is the ridge expected to build back in by this weekend?
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#40 Postby feederband » Wed Aug 03, 2005 6:52 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:A keeper for sure! :eek:


I'm more of a catch and release person myself,, :lol:
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