Hey cycloneye...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

Hey cycloneye...

#1 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 04, 2005 12:02 am

With the SOI in the negative mid-teens, do you think will there be another kelvin wave or will it just be a burst of westerlies? It seems like the SOI's down in the -20s or lower when there is a kelvin wave (of course I've only watched it once or twice, so it might be coincidental).

http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/Seaso ... SOIValues/

Steve
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#2 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:51 am

bump
0 likes   

User avatar
BayouVenteux
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 775
Age: 64
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 3:26 pm
Location: Ascension Parish, Louisiana (30.3 N 91.0 W)

#3 Postby BayouVenteux » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:49 am

bump again...good question
0 likes   
Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148500
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 04, 2005 11:55 am

Image

Looking at the depth graphic I dont see any big kelvin wave like the one back in March and April meaning no el nino will form in the next few months.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost and 160 guests