TD#9

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WindRunner
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#41 Postby WindRunner » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:11 pm

Intensification will be very slow because of the hugeness. But don't storms this big usually have very tight 50kt and 64kt radii?
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gkrangers

#42 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:12 pm

I predict 10 pages of nothing before the 1st advisory is issued.
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#43 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:12 pm

WindRunner wrote:Intensification will be very slow because of the hugeness. But don't storms this big usually have very tight 50kt and 64kt radii?


No thier winds can go out hundreds of miles
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#44 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:13 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Something good that I can find in all the bad. Because the system is so huge, it will have to struggle more to intensify than if it where a smaller cyclone. But, as always in life there is a "but," the system has a long way and lot of warm water to transverse. Thereafter, even it may intensify at a slower pace, it will be a major in a few days.


:darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow: :darrow:

Scorpion wrote:If it takes awhile to intensify then a less northerly track is likely.


That's not good! :eek:

But no need to drool/hype all over this system now. Wait five days and we'll see if this is an Alex (1998) or Isabel (2003). (The first one fizzled but the second one, as we all know, strengthened rapidly.)
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#45 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:14 pm

gkrangers wrote:I predict 10 pages of nothing before the 1st advisory is issued.


lol that prediction is a very real posibility. wow this threat is crankin up!

<RICKY>
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Scorpion

#46 Postby Scorpion » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:15 pm

True, but Alex in 98 formed in July and it wasnt quite CV season yet. Conditions are very favorable ahead of this.
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#47 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:16 pm

You can just make out an active LLC frantically spinning under the convection.

IR shows patchy convection.

My view of WV conditions west of 60* is powder keg.
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jax

#48 Postby jax » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:17 pm

ROAR!
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#49 Postby fci » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:17 pm

gkrangers wrote:I predict 10 pages of nothing before the 1st advisory is issued.


Hey after a rip-roarin July and a lull; we are all pumped to follow one!
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#50 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:17 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:This is what I alluded to last week..I was waiting for a TD to form around 40W and roll West....Here she is!!!


Everything except the "roll West" part...
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Scorpion

#51 Postby Scorpion » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:18 pm

I can agree that this is probably one of the most hyped up waves/TD's I have ever seen here. And for good reason.
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gkrangers

#52 Postby gkrangers » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:19 pm

fci wrote:
gkrangers wrote:I predict 10 pages of nothing before the 1st advisory is issued.


Hey after a rip-roarin July and a lull; we are all pumped to follow one!
There really wasn't a lull...our lull still featured tropical activity.

Franklin and Harvey were the lull, heh.
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#53 Postby x-y-no » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:20 pm

LOL at the LBAR ...

Quite a U-turn after 96 hours ... :lol:
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#54 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:21 pm

Dont take the LBAR seriously right now
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#55 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:21 pm

:woo: :hoola:
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#neversummer
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#56 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:21 pm

hey, that 98E model could be right too...nobody knows....
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jax

#57 Postby jax » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:22 pm

:chopper:
when will recon go?
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#58 Postby senorpepr » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:22 pm

S2K Worldwide Tropical Update is now updated with 09L advisories and storm floaters.
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fci
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#59 Postby fci » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:23 pm

Scorpion wrote:I can agree that this is probably one of the most hyped up waves/TD's I have ever seen here. And for good reason.


I think the audience has grown significantly on this forum and all are perched to watch systems. Mods can confirm the traffic on the board but I for one joined last year and I think a ton of people have also done so.

Seems to me that for EVERY system you will see major hype as people have discovered this site and its value for following storm development and the give and take between "guessers" like us and the pro Mets.

IMO, there is NO BETTER place to follow tropical systems than S2K; and the secret is out..
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#60 Postby x-y-no » Thu Aug 04, 2005 2:24 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:Dont take the LBAR seriously right now


Yeah .. your right ... I'll stick with the A98E :lol: :lol:
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