New wave behind TD#9

[txwatcher91]

Is there any possibility that the wave that is just emerging off of the African coast will becoming something over the next couple of days?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

[Scorpion]

Too close to TD 9 IMO.

[HURAKAN]

With TD #9 in front, possibilities are low if both system get very close.

[txwatcher91]

What if the wave moved slower than TD 9?

[beachbum_al]

I have to say very slim chance if any.

[WindRunner]

Yes, it should spin up at the same point, if not sooner than TD9 according to GFS

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2005080412&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

So does CMC, though it is a much shorter-term model (72hrs max run)

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2005080412&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

In case you want to see more model runs in future, here is home for what FSU lists.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[txwatcher91]

Thanks for the info WindRunner.

[WeatherEmperor]

its interesting to note but its possible but not probable.

<RICKY>

[dixiebreeze]

Yes, you're likely looking at # 10, IMO.

[WeatherEmperor]

Yes, you're likely looking at # 10, IMO.

Are you being serious or just messin around?

<RICKY>

[Andrew92]

Well, this could do something similar to what Edouard and Fran in 1996 did. Edouard developed rapidly into a Category 4 hurricane. At that same time, a tropical depression was struggling to develop, struggling primarily due to Edouard's outflow.

But once Edouard got away from the depression, it was able to organize into Fran, and we all know what happened there.....

I'm hoping this isn't a repeat of that terrible duo, and while it likely will not be, you just never know with the tropics, especially this year.

-Andrew92

[cycloneye]

Here you can see a panoramic view of TD#9 the wave behind and inside Africa.



SAT imagery

[WindRunner]

I think I see 11 north of the Congo

[HurricaneGirl]

http://intellicast.com/Local/USNationalWide.asp?loc=usa&seg=StormCenter&prodgrp=SatelliteImagery&product=AtlanticLoop&prodnav=none

Here is a good map where you can see the waves coming off of Africa as well as TD#9.

[micktooth]

It's still a little too early to tell about potential TD#10. A lot of waves look good coming off of the coast and the weaken. Give it some more time over the open water.

[clfenwi]

Yes, it should spin up at the same point, if not sooner than TD9 according to GFS

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2005080412&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

So does CMC, though it is a much shorter-term model (72hrs max run)

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2005080412&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

In case you want to see more model runs in future, here is home for what FSU lists.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

I see nothing in that CMC run that suggests another spinup.

A check from the same source is the cyclone phase map:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/index.html

The system that GFS develops is #101

Same product for the CMC shows nothing

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/cmc ... index.html

Checked the 00Z run as well (in case it was building it up at some point after 72 hours)... again... nothing.

[Jim Cantore]

if it's faster then TD 9 maybe they fuse

[clfenwi]

if it's faster then TD 9 maybe they fuse

clfenwi's brain fuses

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Jose is that you


Hybridstorm_November2001

[dixiebreeze]

Yes, you're likely looking at # 10, IMO.

Are you being serious or just messin around?

<RICKY>

I don't mess around.