Where will TD9 eventually make landfall?

pcolaguy · #1 Postby **pcolaguy** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 3:44 pm

Yes I know there's another topic on this, but not a poll.

I think it's too hard to say right now, but I'll have to go with Gulf Coast, I'm not convinced it's gonna curve.

#2 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 3:46 pm

Oh boy Im not even gonna try right now. lol. Ill try to vote this weekend I promise. Right now its just way to early.

<RICKY>

dwg71 · #3 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 3:47 pm

Fish...

Astro_man92 · #4 Postby **Astro_man92** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 3:48 pm

Eastcoast

#5 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 3:50 pm

The moon!

That guess is just as good as any right now.

#6 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 3:51 pm

jschlitz wrote:The moon!

That guess is just as good as any right now.

very very funny.

<RICKY>

WindRunner · #7 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:02 pm

East coast: look at the long-term GFS in my thread:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=69780

wxcrazytwo · #8 Postby **wxcrazytwo** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:10 pm

iceland

dwg71 · #9 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:13 pm

I'm interested in those who voted GOM, how do you think it will get there. Through Caribbean Sea or through the Fl keys? Just would be interested in methodology of prediction.

I voted fish.

#10 Postby **Andrew92** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:14 pm

For now, I say it's a fish.

#11 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:15 pm

WindRunner wrote:East coast: look at the long-term GFS in my thread:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=69780

I'm not willing to buy the GFS just yet. It missed the intensity of the ridge and heat wave in the east this week (and the week before and the week before...)

#12 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:17 pm

jschlitz wrote:
WindRunner wrote:East coast: look at the long-term GFS in my thread:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=69780

I'm not willing to buy the GFS just yet. It missed the intensity of the ridge and heat wave in the east this week (and the week before and the week before...)

EXACTLY!!!! GFS loves to overdue ridges and weakness....We will see...early vote would for it NOT to be a fish

#13 Postby **Deenac813** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 4:38 pm

I say fish...and I am hoping fish!!

krisj · #14 Postby **krisj** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:07 pm

I voted GOM only because since Ivan it seems to be a magnet for tropical weather.
I don't see any way it will get there other than the magnet theory. :wink:

My 2nd place would be East Coast, probably NC.

But I have no basis for that either. I just lurk here for weather updates since I hardly ever have time to catch the news.

floridahurricaneguy · #15 Postby **floridahurricaneguy** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:11 pm

Tampa!! This is the big one for tampa! Get ready :lol:

Naw I am just kidding. Truthfully I think somewhere along the east coast. NC Coast or even possibly down to Florida's East Coast. Pretty much anywhere in there.

Matt

Anonymous · #16 Postby **Anonymous** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:15 pm

East Coast

Nimbus · #17 Postby **Nimbus** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:22 pm

Best time to make a guess will be after the models get initialized with a tropical storm.
Looks like 9 will track west some before gaining much latitude.

Folks from Guadeloupe to Puerto Rico would be under the gun if the models start to track left.

#18 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:22 pm

dwg71 wrote:I'm interested in those who voted GOM, how do you think it will get there. Through Caribbean Sea or through the Fl keys? Just would be interested in methodology of prediction.

I voted fish.

My GOM vote is based on two things, and my timing could be off. However, I think the ridge to its North will be building in and that it will not feel any weakness in the ridge(if there is even one). It will come through the FL straits, imo, basically on a parallel to Andrew but further South track, if it gets to the GOM. The other reason is just a literal "gut feeling" that this is going to be a bad one and it will come into the GOM. I do not know why, but that has been my feeling since 95L started. No, I do not normally forecast on a gut feeling, but you asked for reasons.

Astro_man92 · #19 Postby **Astro_man92** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:23 pm

wxcrazytwo wrote:iceland

It is possible but it might be extra tropical. right?

#20 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Aug 04, 2005 5:28 pm

what about east coast then gulf coast??