Down the road a spell

YouTube · #1 Postby **hurricanetrack** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 12:04 am

Ok- FWIW the GFS does show a nice zonal 500mb pattern 16 days from now. This would at least suggest that if anything were in the pipeline it would have a chance of coming fairly far to the west:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_384m.gif

No troughs seen in there- nice ridge on both sides of the Atlantic, If I understand the chart correctly.

gkrangers · #2 Postby **gkrangers** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 12:09 am

Theres a weakness in between the eastern Atlantic ridge and the western Atlantic ridge.

I haven't checked the other levels, but I'm assuming thats an ULL northeast of Puerto Rico.

Don't see how we could get an east coast storm under those circumstances...

But west into the Carribbean? Looks like it.

Tho I could be completely wroong..cuz I really don't know what I'm talking about.

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 12:31 am

hurricanetrack wrote:Ok- FWIW the GFS does show a nice zonal 500mb pattern 16 days from now. This would at least suggest that if anything were in the pipeline it would have a chance of coming fairly far to the west:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_384m.gif

No troughs seen in there- nice ridge on both sides of the Atlantic, If I understand the chart correctly.

Yea Mark, I was talking to Matt Carrier about that the other day and he mentioned how if anything came from the deep tropics or Atlantic, it would most likely be steered west. I have a feeling Jose/Katrina/Lee may be here before September, and something tells me that all three won't be quiet. Odd thing is, all three names sound like storms I can picture hearing you say, "I'm Mark Suddeth here tracking...."

Hurricaneman · #4 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 1:03 am

~Floydbuster wrote:
hurricanetrack wrote:Ok- FWIW the GFS does show a nice zonal 500mb pattern 16 days from now. This would at least suggest that if anything were in the pipeline it would have a chance of coming fairly far to the west:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_384m.gif

No troughs seen in there- nice ridge on both sides of the Atlantic, If I understand the chart correctly.

Yea Mark, I was talking to Matt Carrier about that the other day and he mentioned how if anything came from the deep tropics or Atlantic, it would most likely be steered west. I have a feeling Jose/Katrina/Lee may be here before September, and something tells me that all three won't be quiet. Odd thing is, all three names sound like storms I can picture hearing you say, "I'm Mark Suddeth here tracking...."

I get that picture in my head too

WindRunner · #5 Postby **WindRunner** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 8:05 am

Well, your thing in the pipeline is halfway across the ocean at 384.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/06/images/gfs_ten_384l.gif

Scorpion · #6 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 11:20 am

Finally some good news. It will be active soon.

#7 Postby **Andrew92** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 11:21 am

Scorpion wrote:Finally some good news. It will be active soon.

How is THAT good news? Do you want damage, destruction, and death again?

Don't get me totally wrong, I don't wish that on you. You just need to be REALLY careful what you wish for.

-Andrew92

Scorpion · #8 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 11:22 am

Well, its hurricane season so we need something to track 8-)

.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #9 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 11:32 am

MJO looks like more moisture by August 12th (see mjo post)

#10 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 12:40 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:MJO looks like more moisture by August 12th (see mjo post)

that is just a few days away. Looks like it will be here in only a matter of time.

<RICKY>

Jim Cantore · #11 Postby **Jim Cantore** » Sun Aug 07, 2005 9:04 pm

Here we go again maybe? :roll:

Down the road a spell

Down the road a spell

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