15.1N 48.6W "eddy" and 16N 59W wave

[BensonTCwatcher]

Not sure if I am seeing what is posted elsewhere? or in discussions?

definite LLC SW of Irene. made few time around. Watching to see if it's an eddy of if it persists.

Correction more like 14 North. sorry.

[HUC]

i saw that also;sure an eddy

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I seen it yesterday it looked really good.

[BensonTCwatcher]

Ok it's still there. It also has a small area of convection firing over it's center.

Eddys don't hang around that long and produce convection now do they?

Also it looks like it is NNE in motion and splitting off the ITCZ. Any pros or long timers care to comment??

Use the high zoom loop at 15.14N 48.5W

Also check out 16.03N 59.3W impressive yes?

We must all have been staring at Irene too long and are missing the new possibles [/url]

[superfly]

Looks like it's going to run head on into Irene's sheared-off MLC.

[BensonTCwatcher]

I agree, it will prbably get ground up. I can't see anythink on teh QS but it may be improving quicker than the QS pass. It looked pretty good right before the lights went out.

Check the IR on MSFC site. you can see it pretty well there. it's firing convention on the N and S sides now

[BensonTCwatcher]

OK all those views and nobody even calls me nuts..... When it forms as a new storm south of Irene I bet somebody will say something.

[EDR1222]

It looks pretty good, but it still has all that dry air to contend with, at least in the short term.

[HUC]

In a few hours,the cluster around 16°n,and 59°West should be over my head.Iwill tell you what happened

[Fego]

8PM DISCUSSION

.TROPICAL WAVES...
AN E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 26W/27W TO THE S OF 17N MOVING
W 15 KT. CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL TURNING IS NOTED. CONVECTION IS
CONFINED TO THE ITCZ.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 59W S OF 19N MOVING W AT 15 KT.
CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL TURNING IS NOTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS
CONFIRMED BY THE LOCAL BUOY WINDS. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 16N59W.

[Fego]

This Sat shows both waves with LLC

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[tailgater]

In a few hours,the cluster around 16°n,and 59°West should be over my head.Iwill tell you what happened

Yes please do tell what the conditions are there, this thing is interesting must be honking on 25mph or better

[BensonTCwatcher]

Making bee line almost due west. With that much fwd speed, I'll bet you guys see some decent winds even if nothing more develops. Gonna have to watch it closely. I have not checked the environment ahead of it, but it may be saying "SAL you can't catch me "

[BensonTCwatcher]

early call here so

THIS IS ONLY MY OPINION:

This has trouble written all over it.

1. Decreasing shear ahead
2. ridge in place
3. Warm Water

I would expect some devopment at a decent pace and possible carribean and later GOM

who needs the CV for stroms?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm5.html

[Ivanhater]

can shear steer a storm???

i dont know about steer, but a burst of sheer was blamed for the slight northeastward motion of ivan right before landfall

[Astro_man92]

lol Crazy question:

I can't beleive I'm thinking this but is it possible for a very stong (at least cat 3) Hurricane to temporarily use a ridge for an anti cyclone if it is on it's way to fishdom or Europe

[BensonTCwatcher]

well be interesting to whats what in the morning. still going, especially the wave.