Question??

RU4REAL · #1 Postby **RU4REAL** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:21 am

Is the East Coast out of the woods with Irene? What is keeping her off the coast and how long will it be there?

#2 Postby **storms in NC** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:41 am

from what the NHC said yes NC is out of the woods.But just keep a eye on her

#3 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:48 am

Currently Irene is very weak and on the verge of being downgraded to a TD. That doesn't mean she can't reintensify. If the current progged track holds true, and it appears it will, she will not threaten the US with anything more than some possible good surf when/if hse passes between the US East Coast and Bermuda.

RU4REAL · #4 Postby **RU4REAL** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:29 am

Thanks!

WindRunner · #5 Postby **WindRunner** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:58 am

Now that she's downgraded, watch the track as it shifts westward over the next couple of days. I wouldn't sound the "all clear" quite yet.

vacanechaser · #6 Postby **vacanechaser** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 11:03 am

Thats right... With a weaker system, you can guess it may miss the connection with the trough... Now the track is west of Bermuda..... Buy a good deal considering it was well east as of 5am... Follow the trend.. "The trend is your friend" .. Euro shows a threat to the U.S. and the GFS 6z brings some of the energy westward as well... No way would I think the east coast is out of the woods...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

#7 Postby **EDR1222** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 11:06 am

vacanechaser wrote:Thats right... With a weaker system, you can guess it may miss the connection with the trough... Now the track is west of Bermuda..... Buy a good deal considering it was well east as of 5am... Follow the trend.. "The trend is your friend" .. Euro shows a threat to the U.S. and the GFS 6z brings some of the energy westward as well... No way would I think the east coast is out of the woods...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Definately needs to be watched. These weaker systems are much more challenging to forecast.

wxwatcher91 · #8 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 11:06 am

Irene basically needs to stay weak for the next few days (which shouldnt be a problem :lol:

) and then she has a shot at the east coast...
I think the big question is how strong she will be able to get before striking the east coast and where will she strike... if she strengthens quickly before she reaches land she could take aim on NJ up to ME but if she strengthens slower, FL and up through the Carolinas could get hit... this is all saying she strikes the coast... I think this is one of the most uncertain storms we've had in a while...

Marilyn · #9 Postby **Marilyn** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 11:43 am

vacanechaser wrote:Thats right... With a weaker system, you can guess it may miss the connection with the trough... Now the track is west of Bermuda..... Buy a good deal considering it was well east as of 5am... Follow the trend.. "The trend is your friend" .. Euro shows a threat to the U.S. and the GFS 6z brings some of the energy westward as well... No way would I think the east coast is out of the woods...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

How do i find the Euro so i can look at it Thanks

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