TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[Ivanhater]

bad news is we have already missed the "harm to no one" now bermuda is in danger

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html

Looking at the latest sat loop (be careful it's Java), new convection is rapidly developing over the center. I'm actually thinking now Irene has a chance, albeit a slim one.

ya she is looking better by the minute

Looks Due W BTW

[gatorcane]

It seem to be following the NHC guidance points very closely. It should turn more WNW soon.

[cycloneye]

She is moving now 285 west guided by the low level flow.

[superfly]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html

Looking at the latest sat loop (be careful it's Java), new convection is rapidly developing over the center. I'm actually thinking now Irene has a chance, albeit a slim one.

ya she is looking better by the minute

Well, this is like the 5th time Irene has done this so it may not amount to much. Fire up convection, try to wrap, fail, convection dissipates.

[yoda]

Have you all seen the new 12z EURO?

[wxmann_91]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html

Looking at the latest sat loop (be careful it's Java), new convection is rapidly developing over the center. I'm actually thinking now Irene has a chance, albeit a slim one.

ya she is looking better by the minute

Well, this is like the 5th time Irene has done this so it may not amount to much. Fire up convection, try to wrap, fail, convection dissipates.

Yes, but we can see a trend now of convection repeatedly trying to develop, which could signal a slight decrease in shear, a bit moister air, and/or higher SST's.

[wxmann_91]

Have you all seen the new 12z EURO?

Link???

[gkrangers]

Have you all seen the new 12z EURO?

Link???

Go back a few pages.

[yoda]

Have you all seen the new 12z EURO?

Link???

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 5080812!!/

[WeatherEmperor]

is that model really all that reliable?

<RICKY>

[clfenwi]

LLC looks to have come unwound (1815, 1845, and 1915Z images; loop is channel 1 of eastern floater on http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html ... still shots are
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/197.jpg
and
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/198.jpg

though the numbers on the images are subject to change as new ones come out...)

...stay tuned...

[gkrangers]

is that model really all that reliable?

<RICKY>

The Euro? Probably "the best" mid range model...doesn't mean its right,but it has to be taken seriously.

[ROCK]

Give it up boys...its a fish.

Just had to bring this up again....

[Ivanhater]

Give it up boys...its a fish.

Just had to bring this up again....

i was thinking the same thing, lol

[ROCK]

Why do people get so upset if somebody says it's a fish? Why don't people get just as upset if someody says it's a US threat?

were not getting upset by someone thinking its a fish, its the fact someone saying it WILL be a fish, i would say the same thing to someone who says "give it up boys...its been a gulf storm from day 1"

I'll eat crow if necessary, I have no problem with that. Yes anything could happen, it could go south and loop around South AMerica and hit Hawaii, but that isnt going to happen. I just hope everyone else who keeps the dream alive that this is a US mainland landfalling storm will come back and have a dish.

thats the problem were not saying it WILL hit the east coast, the problem is you saying it WILL be a fish, you dont know that and shouldnt act like you do

I'll stick my neck and take the bashing if neccessary. It IS a FISH, it WILL not hit US mainland.

And of course the infamous quote...

[gkrangers]

LLC looks to have come unwound (1815, 1845, and 1915Z images; loop is channel 1 of eastern floater on http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html ... still shots are
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/197.jpg
and
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/198.jpg

though the numbers on the images are subject to change as new ones come out...)

...stay tuned...

Its going to become more difficult to see, with the sun setting and the new convection near the center.

[wxmann_91]

Have you all seen the new 12z EURO?

Link???

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 5080812!!/

Thanks!

[superfly]

LLC looks to have come unwound (1815, 1845, and 1915Z images; loop is channel 1 of eastern floater on http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html ... still shots are
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/197.jpg
and
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... al/198.jpg

though the numbers on the images are subject to change as new ones come out...)

...stay tuned...

It does look that way. The next few sat images will be interesting.

[Ivanhater]

but it may just be hard to see as convection is building