Poll which is the biggest dodged bullet

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Which was the biggest dodged bullet

Floyd spares Florida 1999
27
25%
Andrew Misses Miami to the south 1992
31
29%
Lili Weakens before landfall 2002
10
9%
Bret Hits no mans land 1999
8
7%
Isabel Weakens big time 2003
4
4%
Isabel Weakens big time 2003
4
4%
Opal drops to a cat 3 1995
3
3%
Isidore turns into Mexico 2002
3
3%
Alexs eye stays offshore 2004
0
No votes
Frances weakens in Bahamas 2004
6
6%
Ivan drops from cat 5 2004
7
6%
Ethel Implodes and I mean IMPLODES 1960
0
No votes
Mitch drops to cat 1 before striking central america 1998
2
2%
Gloria collapses 1985
1
1%
Dennis weakens over cuba and just before landfall 2005
1
1%
Emily spares texas direct hit 2005
1
1%
 
Total votes: 108

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Jim Cantore

Poll which is the biggest dodged bullet

#1 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:53 pm

On my recent polls I've seen very intresting opinions which I greatly enjoy reading I learn alot from them

But Hurricanes have also spared areas alot of devestation heres the poll

which was the biggest dodged bullet

if your pick isn't on the list you can still vote for yours

I got to go with Floyd in 1999 if it would have ran into Florida it would have probibly been 140mph at the weakest I think and would have given Andrew a run for it's money (literally)

I say all of these where dodged disasters but Glorias collapse takes a close second to me
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#2 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:58 pm

I would go with the one that was a dud and caused little damage (not one that causes a lot of damage but could've caused more), which was Lili 2002.
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Jim Cantore

#3 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:00 pm

Lili was a giant dud I went to school on the second to a 110mph storm

came home with a 145mph storm and thought "Man so much for a peaceful 3 years"

Wake up on the third it hit at 100 I'm like.. What in the world happened what a dud"
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#4 Postby Andrew92 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:03 pm

Bret of '99. Only way a Category 3 hurricane can cause as little damage as he did.

-Andrew92
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#5 Postby wxmann_91 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:04 pm

Hurricane Floyd wrote:Wake up on the third it hit at 100 I'm like.. What in the world happened what a dud"


It hit as a 95 mph Cat 1 hurricane. Makes Ethel look possible. :lol:

I live on the west coast, right before I went to sleep the night before Lili made landfall, I saw the sat image from TWC, and it showed Lili's western side eroding BIGTIME and I mean BIGTIME (and TWC still hyping like it was the next Andrew). I had the strangest feeling it would go poof, and when I woke up the next morning, well, it was poof.
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#6 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:04 pm

Yea if bret would of nailed corpus christi we'd be talking a few billion instead of 40 mill
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#7 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:08 pm

The immediate Tampa Bay area dodged the bullet with Ivan and Charley, both of which were at some point forecasted to slam us. We have been incredibly lucky, but since many times hurricanes take similar paths throughout history (based on atmospheric proclivities and constants), and since we have been hit hard in the past 40+ years ago, it would not surprise me at all if we were to get hit during the next few years with a big one. I do not wish for this of course, because I have no wish to see my home destroyed. I'd better reinforce a few parts of my home.
Last edited by Tampa Bay Hurricane on Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#8 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:09 pm

darn I forgot to add charley missed tampa
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#9 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:13 pm

have to go with floyd turning north about 70 miles off the florida coast, at one point it was headed straight at orlando with daytona, the cape etc on the bad side of a cat 4
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#10 Postby BamaMan » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:16 pm

Ok, Yall can call me a homer, and I know this is probably not the biggest dodged bullet, and I know it was awful for those East of us, but the Northeast turn Ivan made prior to landfall saved Mobile and Baldwin County from getting what the Western Panhandle got
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#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:18 pm

This year places could dodge more bullets. (original text removed, it deviated a little from the subject).
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#12 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:34 pm

in 1999 heres the scenario

Floyd hits Florida winds around 140-155mph

heres how it would end up

Image

Image
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#13 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:42 pm

on the other hand if Andrews hits downtown Miami well.....

Image
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#14 Postby GalvestonDuck » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:46 pm

If Lili was a dud, then she wasn't a bullet.

Andrew was a bullet and Miami may have dodged him, but I don't think he classifies as a "dodged bullet" by any means.

My vote goes to Bret. Then again, I've only been here since '98 and I'm pretty much going by my own regional experience.
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DoctorHurricane2003

#15 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:13 pm

Andrew was like a bullet missing and instead of hitting the heart it hit the stomach...painful, but you didn't die immediately.
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Jim Cantore

#16 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:15 pm

Thats a good way of discribing it a real good way
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#17 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:16 pm

How about CAT 5 Charley missing Tampa Bay to the south :eek: ? Would have been just as costly if not more costly than Andrew hitting Miami
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#18 Postby baygirl_1 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:25 pm

I had to go with Floyd missing Florida because, if you get technical, that was a dodge. Isidore, Ethel, Lili, Mitch, Opal, et al were storms that kind of "fizzled out" to some degree. I couldn't go with Andrew. I know it would have been so much worse if it had hit a little further north, but I have a friend who rode it out in Homestead. Her story is absolutely incredible. So, IMHO, that was not a dodged bullet, really.
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#19 Postby Stormtrack » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:33 pm

As far as the US is concerned, it would be hard to find another storm that was all blow and no show like Hurricane Allen in 1980. After causing extensive deaths and destruction in Haiti, Jamaica, and the Yucatan this massive Cat 5 was expected to curve and hit somewhere on the upper Texas Coast. It was about the size of the whole Gulf of Mexico. It really scared people in Texas and I've never seen as many people evacuate like they did with Allen. It never curved and slowed down then weakened to a Cat 3 before striking a sparsely populated area between Corpus Christi and Brownsville, Texas. There were only 2 deaths that were a direct result of the storm in Texas.
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#20 Postby Swimdude » Mon Aug 08, 2005 11:27 pm

Voted for Lili of 02.
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