TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#561 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:52 pm

mvtrucking wrote:Is it possible for Irene to stay at or below 25N and make it into the gulf?If so what would have to happen. Miss the weakness in the ridge? Or is this out of the question?

honestly, I am not sure...I highly doubt it...but, hey, anything is possible

#562 Postby **Buck** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:52 pm

Anyone else thinking that New England has a chance (at least a slight one) of getting up close and personal with Irene?

#563 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:53 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
mvtrucking wrote:Is it possible for Irene to stay at or below 25N and make it into the gulf?If so what would have to happen. Miss the weakness in the ridge? Or is this out of the question?

honestly, I am not sure...I highly doubt it...but, hey, anything is possible

who knows, but an east coast threat is increasing by the minute

#564 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:54 pm

Buck wrote:Anyone else thinking that New England has a chance (at least a slight one) of getting up close and personal with Irene?

im not sure...i think we should see if it goes out with the trof or comes under first....not trying to avoid your question..

#565 Postby **mvtrucking** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:55 pm

ivanhater wrote:im staying with my west statement

Thats my story and I'm stickin to it.(Isn't that a song?)

#566 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:55 pm

mvtrucking wrote:
ivanhater wrote:im staying with my west statement

Thats my story and I'm stickin to it.(Isn't that a song?)

if your talking about the country one, yes!!

boca · #567 Postby **boca** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:16 pm

Alittle red burst in Irene.

Hyperstorm · #568 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:21 pm

Irene is re-firing strong convection in the SE quadrant of the low-level swirl. However, it appears that the LLC is becoming poorly defined and there could be a new center developing near the convection on the SE quadrant. If the latter happens, then the chances of survival increase.

I really was expecting Irene to die today, but if this new LLC develops, it could mean a storm that will have to be dealt with for the next few days.

I've never seen such a tenacious cyclone...(even Kyle in 2002 wasn't in as bad of an environment for so long)

#569 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:41 pm

.1n and 1.2w from last advisory, hard to argue its going wnw

#570 Postby **storms in NC** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:48 pm

well I will have to see what her next trick is in the morning. Good night all

BensonTCwatcher · #571 Postby **BensonTCwatcher** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:50 pm

Is is just me or does 11pm discussion seem more than 2 hours old?

There is plenty of dry air, but 'ol harvey's moisture is wrpping down from the N and may provide enough moisture. Also, the shear looks to be decreasing now. Probaby will keep being steered by low level flow

#572 Postby **CronkPSU** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:51 pm

discussion sounds like the NHC guys are as bored of this system as we are, like they have finally given in to the fact that shear will keep this from ever doing anything more than 45 knots at best

#573 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:53 pm

ivanhater wrote:.1n and 1.2w from last advisory, hard to argue its going wnw

i think technically that is WNW...but, yeah...not really...and DEF...NOT 285

#574 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:58 pm

its funny, its like they are denying the west movement today... this short term moving is very much important to the long term...

#575 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 9:59 pm

deltadog03 wrote:its funny, its like they are denying the west movement today... this short term moving is very much important to the long term...

i know, its like they are skipping over it

Steve H. · #576 Postby **Steve H.** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:00 pm

Agree deltadog. I can't see a 285 heading....been 265 -270 last few hours, but my eyes are getting older. :roll:

#577 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:02 pm

Steve H. wrote:Agree deltadog. I can't see a 285 heading....been 265 -270 last few hours, but my eyes are getting older.

lol...mine too...i mean, they are the top dogs and i know that. but, when you have a weak system like this and its moving just about due W pretty much all day...its getting harder and harder to push out to sea.. and this might not be that big of deal, but at least adress the issue of it moving west and not call it 285

#578 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:03 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
Steve H. wrote:Agree deltadog. I can't see a 285 heading....been 265 -270 last few hours, but my eyes are getting older.

lol...mine too...i mean, they are the top dogs and i know that. but, when you have a weak system like this and its moving just about due W pretty much all day...its getting harder and harder to push out to sea.. and this might not be that big of deal, but at least adress the issue of it moving west and not call it 285

i hate it when they skip over things

clfenwi · #579 Postby **clfenwi** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:04 pm

gkrangers wrote:BAMM and BAMD both shifted SW a bit.

A98E is junk.

Curious there is no LBAR or SHIPS..the LBAR has been calling for recurve.

SHIPS relies upon the LBAR track to make its forecast so no LBAR will cause no SHIPS either.

#580 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:05 pm

ok, i didn't know that...thanks for that...

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