UNOFFICIAL...Irene Forecast 7; on track and to 55kts at 72hr

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 7:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html

Shear has let up, as the ULL to the northeast is now more in the mid-levels. Of course, flow continues eastward from the anticyclone over the southeastern US, but shear will be less in the next few days as it has been, and intensification is forecasted. Track is very close to the same as before.

Scott

[WeatherEmperor]

damn. i gotta admit. that was some fantastic writing man.

<RICKY>

[Derek Ortt]

you do realise that you accelerate the storm to about 17KT from 96-120 hours, don't you? It jumps from 67 to 74W

[WindRunner]

Great discussion. I've never seen one summarizing the whole day like that, it makes it easier to follow though.

[WeatherEmperor]

you do realise that you accelerate the storm to about 17KT from 96-120 hours, don't you? It jumps from 67 to 74W

ah good point Derek. lol thats why i said the writing was excellent. Didnt say anything about the forecast track.

<RICKY>

[ncweatherwizard]

My apologies; that is supposed to be 29.8N 69.7W for the 120hr position. I will correct that immediately; thanks for the heads up.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

Fixed...when I put in the final plot into the HTML, I looked at the 70W line and put the point 5 degrees too far west instead of behind 70W where it was supposed to be. I apologize for any confusion.

[James]

That was a great discussion. Very well written.