Accuweather and Irene

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Steve
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#41 Postby Steve » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:13 am

Actually it would be breaking the trof per his video. He seemed to like the European's idea with having the storm off the SE Coast at the end of the run. He said the 6z GFS has come more in line with that. Asian teleconnections support ridging off the East Coast in the week to 10-day period, so that whole thread with yesterday's 18z GFS "East Coast in the Clear until ridge builds" may end up being a wasted effort.

Steve
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#42 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:14 am

Steve wrote:Actually it would be breaking the trof per his video. He seemed to like the European's idea with having the storm off the SE Coast at the end of the run. He said the 6z GFS has come more in line with that. Asian teleconnections support ridging off the East Coast in the week to 10-day period, so that whole thread with yesterday's 18z GFS "East Coast in the Clear until ridge builds" may end up being a wasted effort.

Steve



not to mention if irene stays weak a more westward track takes place, assuming it survives.
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#43 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Aug 08, 2005 10:17 am

jb also said with it under the ridge it could be a formidable storm for the coast and compared it to debby and another one that were weak early on
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#44 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:12 am

accuweather track has shifted west also, and is VERY wide....i dont see the jb video this morning, anyone know when it will come out?
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#45 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:20 am

ivanhater, i have seen it...did a VERY good video today....ive seen it on accuwx pro though...anyway, he said if irene made it under the trof than conditions will be more than favorable for development
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#46 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 09, 2005 10:24 am

deltadog03 wrote:ivanhater, i have seen it...did a VERY good video today....ive seen it on accuwx pro though...anyway, he said if irene made it under the trof than conditions will be more than favorable for development



ok thanks....i know yesteday morning he did not believe it would recurve, looks like he might be right
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#47 Postby djtil » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:13 am

He seemed to like the European's idea with having the storm off the SE Coast at the end of the run.


wow...he picked the model that has it affecting the us coast.....shocking.
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#48 Postby Javlin » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:29 am

Seeing that we have a WSW motion possibily happening now and he said the EURO model was good yesterday.I would say he saw something yestreday that some can not even see now.I am not a big JB fan but man give credit were it's might be dued sometimes.
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#49 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:34 am

right...i know he can be out there sometimes...but, really he should be given some credit...he called for this before yesterday's euro came out...
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#50 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:36 am

where are we getting wsw at?
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#51 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:36 am

here is acuweathers track
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurric ... e&partner=

here is a link to joes video
http://weather.yahoo.com/vidindex/index.html
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#52 Postby Javlin » Tue Aug 09, 2005 11:51 am

[quote="storms in NC"]where are we getting wsw at?[/quote

Go to the TD Irene thread Luis has graph up showing track from NHC(pg 8)
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#53 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:27 pm

new accuweather track....cone spread waaaay out

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurric ... e&partner=
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#54 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:30 pm

well that cone just about covers it huh. Can't go wrong there
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#55 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:32 pm

They might as well spread the entire cone over the entire east coast.

<RICKY>
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#56 Postby gkrangers » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:33 pm

Its only a matter of time before JB forecasts a Long Island landfall or something of that sort...
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#57 Postby baygirl_1 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:34 pm

ivanhater wrote:new accuweather track....cone spread waaaay out

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurric ... e&partner=

Sorry, but that cone screams, "We don't have a clue!" I mean, Miami all the way to Maine, or maybe even a fish. They have all the bases covered.
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#58 Postby sponger » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:53 pm

That is quite a cone! I saw todays JB video and he actually did a good job. I'll give him credit for the early call but that cone is horrible
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#59 Postby StormWarning1 » Tue Aug 09, 2005 4:56 pm

The cone is wide but it is a 7 day forecast.
The width at day 5 is the same as what the Hurricane Center has.
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#60 Postby Cookiely » Tue Aug 09, 2005 5:17 pm

It must be nice to make big bucks and make a forecast track that I in my ignorance could make for free.
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