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You do realize NHC is showing a west track at the end of their forecast? Thats right along DT's thoughts.
DT knows his stuff.
NastyCat4 wrote:You do realize NHC is showing a west track at the end of their forecast? Thats right along DT's thoughts.
DT knows his stuff.
Anybody who'd have the audacity to replay Andrew for shock value isn't a responsible met. The NHC isn't endorsing rapid intensification, and is somewhat hedging on a Western track in the first place. It is hard to track a weak depression based on computer models.
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:NastyCat4- I don't think DT's intention was to replay Andrew for shock value. He sincerely believes what he is forecasting, and he's a very good meteorologist. I understand your point about sensationalism, but I do not believe that DT is using this as a motive in his forecasting.
clfenwi wrote:Latest GFDL output... manages to not kill off Irene...
WHXX04 KWBC 092322
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE 09L
INITIAL TIME 18Z AUG 9
DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.
FORECAST STORM POSITION
HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)
0 22.2 54.1 270./ 6.0
6 23.0 55.0 309./11.4
12 23.2 56.0 283./ 9.5
18 24.3 57.1 315./14.8
24 24.9 58.6 293./14.8
30 25.5 59.8 295./12.4
36 26.0 61.3 287./14.4
42 26.3 62.6 284./11.9
48 27.0 63.5 309./10.9
54 27.7 64.2 315./ 8.7
60 28.2 64.9 307./ 8.3
66 28.9 65.3 330./ 8.2
72 29.5 65.5 339./ 5.8
78 29.9 65.5 5./ 4.5
84 30.2 65.5 0./ 3.2
90 30.5 65.3 31./ 2.8
96 30.6 65.2 25./ 1.4
102 30.7 65.5 283./ 2.0
108 30.7 66.0 270./ 4.7
114 30.8 66.4 281./ 3.7
120 30.9 66.9 286./ 4.6
126 31.1 67.4 291./ 4.4
NastyCat4 wrote:You do realize NHC is showing a west track at the end of their forecast? Thats right along DT's thoughts.
DT knows his stuff.
Anybody who'd have the audacity to replay Andrew for shock value isn't a responsible met. The NHC isn't endorsing rapid intensification, and is somewhat hedging on a Western track in the first place. It is hard to track a weak depression based on computer models.
NorthGaWeather wrote:NastyCat4 wrote:You do realize NHC is showing a west track at the end of their forecast? Thats right along DT's thoughts.
DT knows his stuff.
Anybody who'd have the audacity to replay Andrew for shock value isn't a responsible met. The NHC isn't endorsing rapid intensification, and is somewhat hedging on a Western track in the first place. It is hard to track a weak depression based on computer models.
You can't forecast rapid intensification and their have been several times a storm has rapidly intensified when not expected. And to the hedging on the west track comment...the NHC isn't do as you say. Perhaps you should reread the 5pm discussion, which was laid out well.
jkt21787 wrote:Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:NastyCat4- I don't think DT's intention was to replay Andrew for shock value. He sincerely believes what he is forecasting, and he's a very good meteorologist. I understand your point about sensationalism, but I do not believe that DT is using this as a motive in his forecasting.
Yes, DT does not use sensationalism in his forecasting. Nastycat4 is very new obviously by his/her number of posts, so this person doesn't know that.
DT can be a little crude in his language, but hyping is something he has NEVER done. All of his forecasts that I've seen have been based on have been backed by logical data from models and other sources.
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Irene looks like she is weaker then that invest 94L(Unnamed tropical storm that hit the outterbanks on 26th of June) There is no putting them together. Because Irene looks sick.
OMG you mean a meteorologist was WRONG?!?!?!Thunder44 wrote:jkt21787 wrote:Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:NastyCat4- I don't think DT's intention was to replay Andrew for shock value. He sincerely believes what he is forecasting, and he's a very good meteorologist. I understand your point about sensationalism, but I do not believe that DT is using this as a motive in his forecasting.
Yes, DT does not use sensationalism in his forecasting. Nastycat4 is very new obviously by his/her number of posts, so this person doesn't know that.
DT can be a little crude in his language, but hyping is something he has NEVER done. All of his forecasts that I've seen have been based on have been backed by logical data from models and other sources.
I seem to remember some blizzards he has hyped in the past several years for the northeast that never happened. Of course it seems that everybody else has forgotten that.
gkrangers wrote:OMG you mean a meteorologist was WRONG?!?!?!Thunder44 wrote:jkt21787 wrote:Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:NastyCat4- I don't think DT's intention was to replay Andrew for shock value. He sincerely believes what he is forecasting, and he's a very good meteorologist. I understand your point about sensationalism, but I do not believe that DT is using this as a motive in his forecasting.
Yes, DT does not use sensationalism in his forecasting. Nastycat4 is very new obviously by his/her number of posts, so this person doesn't know that.
DT can be a little crude in his language, but hyping is something he has NEVER done. All of his forecasts that I've seen have been based on have been backed by logical data from models and other sources.
I seem to remember some blizzards he has hyped in the past several years for the northeast that never happened. Of course it seems that everybody else has forgotten that.
STOP THE PRESSES!
Since when are they perfect ?
A lot of the stuff DT posts is pure speculation. Not actual real life forecasts. And that is what boards like S2K and Eastern are for. Weather lovers to discuss all the possibilities...
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