TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

du1st · #1321 Postby **du1st** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:22 am

The models must know something we don't.

BensonTCwatcher · #1322 Postby **BensonTCwatcher** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:30 am

du1st wrote:The models must know something we don't.

No, I'd say they are seeing that strong ridge and are reacting accordingly. They may not being seeing how strong it really is though.

du1st · #1323 Postby **du1st** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:32 am

I think so.

BensonTCwatcher · #1324 Postby **BensonTCwatcher** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:33 am

Attention in the terminal.....All TC's please board the train at Gate 1

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm5.html

Pattern has changed bit....I think the CV season is upon us if this holds...

sma10 · #1325 Postby **sma10** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:46 am

Does anyone remember that just a couple of days ago the NHC official track took Irene directly over Bermuda? Look at the cone now...that is quite a westward shift we have seen in forecast. (Bermuda isn't even in that huge 5 day balloon anymore!)

Website · #1326 Postby **Brent** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:46 am

txwatcher91 · #1327 Postby **txwatcher91** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:49 am

Brent wrote:

OH BOY

ANOTHER ISABEL!

du1st · #1328 Postby **du1st** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:49 am

the ridge is stronger and it missed the trough.

#1329 Postby **TreasureIslandFLGal** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:49 am

i still think their path is too far north. there is no way this thing can just abruptly take a NW path in order to make those projected short term points.

WXFIEND · #1330 Postby **WXFIEND** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:50 am

Why not?

All i know is that I'm safe up here around NYC lol... not according to Accu's map, but maybe we'll get grazed :roll:

#1331 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:50 am

Oh I have seen them turn on a dime.

du1st · #1332 Postby **du1st** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:55 am

the NWC says the weakness may force it northward. That is probalby why they have such a NW path. PS when will georgia ever get hit?

du1st · #1333 Postby **du1st** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 9:58 am

We need a new thread.

BensonTCwatcher · #1334 Postby **BensonTCwatcher** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 10:01 am

I'd say Irene is now a different system than yesterday. Before she was de-coupled, meaning the LLC and MLC were not together. Earlier this morning, the QS pass reflected an open wave. That was "Old Irene "dying off.

Go here http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html

click on high zoom and animate image, then click on "New Irene"

Notice how the open wave is closing and that now the circulation is coupled? Cool huh? Now if this continues we should see contibued development. The outflow is now circular denoting the anticyclonic flow.

I promised myself I would not look at this today.... :roll:

#1335 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 10:04 am

du1st wrote:Hey storms let's have a competion on who hits 100 post first!

I don't care how many post I have. Have fun wasting space

du1st · #1336 Postby **du1st** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 10:08 am

I was kidding. I don't like to waste space.

wxwatcher91 · #1337 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 10:16 am

and it's 93 to 87! just kidding just kidding... :lol:

it should be how submits the post that puts this thread at 100 pages lol

du1st · #1338 Postby **du1st** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 10:19 am

Looks like Irene has a chance.

#1339 Postby **Andrew92** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 10:30 am

Guys this thread is about Irene. Let's get rid of all the post competitions.

Thank you.

-Andrew92

sma10 · #1340 Postby **sma10** » Wed Aug 10, 2005 10:33 am

Any thoughts on what Stewart mentioned in the discussion re: possible center being down at 21N?

If you look at the loop, there appears to be a definite spin down at 21N.

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