TS Irene=Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[jabber]

Miami NWS does not seem to concerned

'TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE LOCATED 1500 MILES EAST OF MIAMI IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST. AS SHE TRAVELS AROUND THE RIDGE...A TURN TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST SHOULD OCCUR KEEPING IT OUT IN THE ATLANTIC.

SO WHAT DOES ALL THIS MEAN FOR OUR NEXT WEEK`S WEATHER? MORE OF THE SAME WITH NOCTURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ATLANTIC AND TO A LESSER DEGREE OVER THE GULF. DAYTIME SEABREEZE GENERATED THUNDERSTORMS BASICALLY ANYWHERE...BUT LESS PREVALENT RIGHT AT THE COAST. TEMPERATURES PRETTY CLOSE TO NORMAL THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

[gatorcane]

It has a Frances-like path.

[ga_ben]

Any idea when recon is heading out to take a look at Irene.

[gatorcane]

I posted the GFS link in another topic. It warrants attention.

[Ivanhater]

that showed a landfall in about 13 days???

[WeatherEmperor]

that showed a landfall in about 13 days???

you are correct, however that is not for Irene but rather for another system that it develops behind Irene.

<RICKY>

[jax]

I posted the GFS link in another topic. It warrants attention.

1008mb in 13 days...

[cycloneye]

WHXX04 KWBC 101722
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE 09L

INITIAL TIME 12Z AUG 10

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 22.2 57.6 270./ 7.0
6 22.8 58.9 294./13.5
12 23.4 59.9 306./11.0
18 24.1 61.3 296./14.9
24 24.8 62.9 291./15.7
30 25.6 64.3 300./15.6
36 26.1 65.4 293./10.4
42 26.4 66.4 287./10.0
48 26.7 67.3 290./ 8.3
54 27.0 68.0 296./ 7.2
60 27.2 68.6 283./ 5.6
66 27.5 69.3 293./ 7.0
72 27.8 70.1 291./ 7.2
78 28.0 70.6 291./ 5.2
84 28.3 71.4 294./ 7.6
90 28.8 71.9 313./ 6.6
96 29.3 72.3 320./ 5.7
102 29.6 72.9 303./ 6.5
108 30.1 73.4 306./ 6.5
114 30.6 73.9 316./ 6.7
120 31.1 74.6 309./ 7.3
126 31.6 75.2 306./ 7.3


12z GFDL track has it going to SC/NC border.

[Ivanhater]

that showed a landfall in about 13 days???

you are correct, however that is not for Irene but rather for another system that it develops behind Irene.

<RICKY>

ya , i knew it couldnt be irene...some people get to excited and dont check to make sure

[WeatherEmperor]

that showed a landfall in about 13 days???

you are correct, however that is not for Irene but rather for another system that it develops behind Irene.

<RICKY>

ya , i knew it couldnt be irene...some people get to excited and dont check to make sure

lol yeah. i think the guy who posted it saw something hit FL, got really excited and thought it was Irene. Its ok it happens.

<RICKY>

[DESTRUCTION5]

WHXX04 KWBC 101722
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRENE 09L

INITIAL TIME 12Z AUG 10

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 22.2 57.6 270./ 7.0
6 22.8 58.9 294./13.5
12 23.4 59.9 306./11.0
18 24.1 61.3 296./14.9
24 24.8 62.9 291./15.7
30 25.6 64.3 300./15.6
36 26.1 65.4 293./10.4
42 26.4 66.4 287./10.0
48 26.7 67.3 290./ 8.3
54 27.0 68.0 296./ 7.2
60 27.2 68.6 283./ 5.6
66 27.5 69.3 293./ 7.0
72 27.8 70.1 291./ 7.2
78 28.0 70.6 291./ 5.2
84 28.3 71.4 294./ 7.6
90 28.8 71.9 313./ 6.6
96 29.3 72.3 320./ 5.7
102 29.6 72.9 303./ 6.5
108 30.1 73.4 306./ 6.5
114 30.6 73.9 316./ 6.7
120 31.1 74.6 309./ 7.3
126 31.6 75.2 306./ 7.3


12z GFDL track has it going to SC/NC border.

Further West here too

[EDR1222]

It has a Frances-like path.

It looks like it is further north than where Frances was at that same Longitude.

[WeatherEmperor]

No way this is gonna be another Frances. Well I should actually its possible but not probable.

<RICKY>

[storms in NC]

take a look at her now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

that ridge could get a'loaded---> which means that it looks this storm could continue to "Go West"

Come on, come on, come on, come on
(Together) We will go our way
(Together) We will leave someday
(Together) Your hand in my hands
(Together) We will make our plans
(Together) We will fly so high
(Together) Tell all our friends goodbye
(Together) We will start life new
(Together) This is what we'll do

(Go West) Life is peaceful there
(Go West) In the open air
(Go West) Where the skies are blue
(Go West) This is what we're gonna do
(Go West, this is what we're gonna do, Go West)

[deltadog03]

hey everyone...just got home...is irene still pretty much moving WEST? I did read the 11am disco

[WeatherEmperor]

hey everyone...just got home...is irene still pretty much moving WEST? I did read the 11am disco

Unless Irene is decieving my eyes, I would say she is WNW right now.

<RICKY>

[deltadog03]

ok, thanks...is the center under the south side convection?

[Ivanhater]

hey everyone...just got home...is irene still pretty much moving WEST? I did read the 11am disco

Unless Irene is decieving my eyes, I would say she is WNW right now.

<RICKY>

eh, i dont know, i think it looks wnw because blow up of convection to the southeast moving to the northwest

[WeatherEmperor]

ok, thanks...is the center under the south side convection?

I dunno for sure. Use the visible Floater 2 to make up your mind.

<RICKY>

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml