Where is the 12Z GFS?
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hurricanetrack
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deltadog03
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gkrangers
Re: Where is the 12Z GFS?
Who careshurricanetrack wrote:Huh? Where is it? Huh?
Maybe they discontinued it? We're not that lucky..
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deltadog03
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deltadog03
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hurricanetrack
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On the NCEP
The NCEP site does not show the 12Z GFS from today...usually it is out by 1pm EDT. MW and I could not find it....
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WindRunner
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well, it did run...
NOUS42 KWNO 111453
ADMNFD
SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION
CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC
1450 UTC THU AUG 11 2005
111450..THE 12Z GFS BEGAN ON TIME. NGM MODEL DONE.
NAM MODEL WAS OUT TO T+75HRS.
12Z RAOB RECAP..
AMA/72363 - 10142..GROUND EQUIP PROBLEMS
FGZ/72376 - 10142..GROUND EQUIP PROBLEMS
DVN/74455 - SHORT TO 527MB
NEWBY/SDM/NCO/NCEP
Here's the 'final' extended forecast discussion from NCEP...
FINAL MEDIUM RANGE DISCUSSION...
BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND CAN GLOB HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A FLATTER H5
PATTERN OVER NOAM AND THIS IDEA IS SUPPORTED BY THE 06Z NCEP ENS
MEAN. DO NOT SEE A REASON TO CHANGE THE PRELIM THINKING BASED ON
THE NEW GUIDANCE. THE ONLY NOTABLE CHANGES TO THE PROGS ARE A
RESULT OF IRENE OFF THE MID ATL COAST DAYS 5/TUES THRU 7/THURS.
THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK FORECAST IS USED THRU DAY 5/TUES AND COORD
WITH NHC FOR DAYS 6/WED AND 7/THURS ALLOWS IRENE TO CURVE N AND
INTERACT WITH THE LOW LVL BNDRY OVER THE MID ATL AND THEN TURN
MORE NELY AS THE SYS SLOWLY MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERLIES. IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT UNCERTAINTY IS STILL VERY HI WITH THIS
TRACK...ESP CONSIDERING THE PREFERENCE IN THE 06Z NCEP MEAN FOR A
DEEPER H5 TROF OVER THE NERN CONUS ON DAY 7/THURS. THERE IS ALSO
SUPPORT IN THE 11/00Z GFS D+8 MEAN FOR TROFFING OVER ERN NOAM.
THIS WOULD SUGGEST SENDING IRENE OFF TO THE E MORE QUICKLY THAN
THE CURRENT FORECAST.
NOUS42 KWNO 111453
ADMNFD
SPECIAL NCEP DISCUSSION
CENTRAL OPERATIONS/NCEP/NWS/WASHINGTON DC
1450 UTC THU AUG 11 2005
111450..THE 12Z GFS BEGAN ON TIME. NGM MODEL DONE.
NAM MODEL WAS OUT TO T+75HRS.
12Z RAOB RECAP..
AMA/72363 - 10142..GROUND EQUIP PROBLEMS
FGZ/72376 - 10142..GROUND EQUIP PROBLEMS
DVN/74455 - SHORT TO 527MB
NEWBY/SDM/NCO/NCEP
Here's the 'final' extended forecast discussion from NCEP...
FINAL MEDIUM RANGE DISCUSSION...
BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND CAN GLOB HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A FLATTER H5
PATTERN OVER NOAM AND THIS IDEA IS SUPPORTED BY THE 06Z NCEP ENS
MEAN. DO NOT SEE A REASON TO CHANGE THE PRELIM THINKING BASED ON
THE NEW GUIDANCE. THE ONLY NOTABLE CHANGES TO THE PROGS ARE A
RESULT OF IRENE OFF THE MID ATL COAST DAYS 5/TUES THRU 7/THURS.
THE OFFICIAL NHC TRACK FORECAST IS USED THRU DAY 5/TUES AND COORD
WITH NHC FOR DAYS 6/WED AND 7/THURS ALLOWS IRENE TO CURVE N AND
INTERACT WITH THE LOW LVL BNDRY OVER THE MID ATL AND THEN TURN
MORE NELY AS THE SYS SLOWLY MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERLIES. IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT UNCERTAINTY IS STILL VERY HI WITH THIS
TRACK...ESP CONSIDERING THE PREFERENCE IN THE 06Z NCEP MEAN FOR A
DEEPER H5 TROF OVER THE NERN CONUS ON DAY 7/THURS. THERE IS ALSO
SUPPORT IN THE 11/00Z GFS D+8 MEAN FOR TROFFING OVER ERN NOAM.
THIS WOULD SUGGEST SENDING IRENE OFF TO THE E MORE QUICKLY THAN
THE CURRENT FORECAST.
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