Peninsula Florida May Dodge Yet Another Storm This Season

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SouthFloridawx
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hmmm

#21 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 11, 2005 11:37 am

let's see.... I think we have seen out fair share of hurricanes in the last 12 months in florida. I mean in the last 12 months we have had quite a few storms here.... 5 hurricanes and a couple of tropical storms... sorry about the exact number i would have to look it up...
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Re: hmmm

#22 Postby MortisFL » Thu Aug 11, 2005 11:40 am

southfloridawx2005 wrote:let's see.... I think we have seen out fair share of hurricanes in the last 12 months in florida. I mean in the last 12 months we have had quite a few storms here.... 5 hurricanes and a couple of tropical storms... sorry about the exact number i would have to look it up...


Exactly

And on a side note, I've never seen the consistency of FL posters giving their reason on why Irene was "suppose" to come to the peninsula.
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Florida Hit

#23 Postby rjgator » Thu Aug 11, 2005 11:44 am

The only thing that bothers me is the constant changes the NHC has been making to the projected 3-5 paths of this storm. If they continue to keep making the leftward shifts no one is out of the woodwork. The storm is also increaseing in speed indicating the ridge is having a more profound effect. Is it true that a weak storm will have less of a chance of heading into the weakness in the ridge? If so I hope this storm can intensify quickly so it will be a fish like we once thought. The storm has already not gone into the weakness left from Harvey as originally thought. The 4-5 day predictions on this one seem very uncertain. The NHC has been doing an excellent job thus far this year (all things considered) on thier forecasts and this is the first storm that seems to be pulling a frances or Jeane in regards to the drastic forecasted path changes that have been made. I think everyone in Florida should start blowing to the East to try and blow it away :)
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Florida Hit

#24 Postby rjgator » Thu Aug 11, 2005 11:44 am

The only thing that bothers me is the constant changes the NHC has been making to the projected 3-5 paths of this storm. If they continue to keep making the leftward shifts no one is out of the woodwork. The storm is also increaseing in speed indicating the ridge is having a more profound effect. Is it true that a weak storm will have less of a chance of heading into the weakness in the ridge? If so I hope this storm can intensify quickly so it will be a fish like we once thought. The storm has already not gone into the weakness left from Harvey as originally thought. The 4-5 day predictions on this one seem very uncertain. The NHC has been doing an excellent job thus far this year (all things considered) on thier forecasts and this is the first storm that seems to be pulling a frances or Jeane in regards to the drastic forecasted path changes that have been made. I think everyone in Florida should start blowing to the East to try and blow it away :)
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#25 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 11, 2005 11:45 am

The NHC has been doing an excellent job thus far this year (all things considered) on thier forecasts and this is the first storm that seems to be pulling a frances or Jeane in regards to the drastic forecasted path changes that have been made. I think everyone in Florida should start blowing to the East to try and blow it away


I'm pretty sure FL has nothing to worry about with Irene.
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Re: hmmm

#26 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:00 pm

southfloridawx2005 wrote:let's see.... I think we have seen out fair share of hurricanes in the last 12 months in florida. I mean in the last 12 months we have had quite a few storms here.... 5 hurricanes and a couple of tropical storms... sorry about the exact number i would have to look it up...


In Miami, especially the southern part, we didn't get much of note from the '04 season at all. In fact, even Dennis this year knocked out my power for several hours, something no feeder band from Charley, Frances, Ivan or Jeanne managed to accomplish.
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#27 Postby susan » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:00 pm

I don't think Irene was ever a bullet pointed towards FL.....They had 2 systems hit already this year..Hopefully that was it...
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#28 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:29 pm

I see what you mean. I remember very well right around the time Franklin formed. During that time Emily was being kept far south into Mexico because of a very very strong ridge of high pressure. It remained in its place for a good 4-5 days but just as Franklin was forming, the ridge began to weaken. Suuuuuch a coincidence or not? you decide. Sometimes it seems as if a tropical cyclone approaches FL from the north in the Atlantic, somehow the ridge conveniently weakens and turns the storm to the north. If storms approach from the south in the Caribbean, somehow the ridge conveniently strenghtens keeping the systems to our south. Personally this does not bug me what so ever. Im fine with it. But you just gotta wonder(not including 2004) that somehow mothernatures stages these things. well maybe not but its interesting to note these sets of....coincidences.

<RICKY>
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#29 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:35 pm

great...just when I post this thread the BAM and GFS want to strengthen the ridge even more and bring Irene west now :eek:
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#30 Postby tracyswfla » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:47 pm

boca_chris wrote:great...just when I post this thread the BAM and GFS want to strengthen the ridge even more and bring Irene west now :eek:


I think it is to early to really figure Ms. Irene out!
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Scorpion

#31 Postby Scorpion » Thu Aug 11, 2005 3:24 pm

Not gonna happen here. Wait til late Aug or September. If I remember correctly the east coast of FL didnt get hit until September 5 last year, and people are already saying we are safe and its the 11th of August.
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