Possible watches and warning?

[shaggy]

With the track that the NHC has Irene on then there will inevitably be watches and warnings when do you guys&gals think we will start to see watches and warnings and where will they be from on the coastline?

I am goig to say on the CURRENT forecast track that watches go up sunday from SC/NC border to VA/MD border.

Any other ideas on this?

[sma10]

With the track that the NHC has Irene on then there will inevitably be watches and warnings when do you guys&gals think we will start to see watches and warnings and where will they be from on the coastline?

I am goig to say on the CURRENT forecast track that watches go up sunday from SC/NC border to VA/MD border.

Any other ideas on this?

It looks like the model trend right now is for Irene to slow way down. It's hard to believe, but it's possible that 5 DAYS FROM NOW we still might not know where she's going to strike.

[shaggy]

yeah thats why i capatilized current because its very likely to change again and numerous times

[storms in NC]

If she doesn't slow down she is 75 hours away from Wilm

[WindRunner]

I'd agree with your range for now, but by sunday we'll know a lot more and watches will only be required for about half of that area IMO. Watches will come out Monday night or Tuesday morning if they want to be a little more sure about it. Warnings Wednesday morning (because of the uncertainty) and strike Wed night/early Thurs morn (10pm-4am intense part).

[shaggy]

i think she will be moving faster and make landfall by tuesday morning and here is why this is just my opinion and nothing more.

NHC is banking alot on the ridge eroding and a turn northward but they clearly say that theres no trough to do so.So no trough and the possibilty of the ridge NOT eroding means it should continue to be steered by the non-weakening high at which point aslow down to 5knts doesn't seem LIKELY but might be possible.Thats whats so concerning here if they shift the track west again and then it doesn't slow down we have a sooner landfalling cane but thats just my opinion and i have been told its not worth 2 cents

[storms in NC]

Downeast I would go get what you need befor they sell out. I little on the broke side but we'll be fine. I'll bumm from mom and dad LOL

[fci]

The NHC has been pretty correct on the path in spite of all of the development issues with this storm.
The had it turning WNW when all said the ridge was too strong; and now have it passing offshore of the Outer Banks.
It even looks like an overall NW to my untrained eye.

IMO; if you see ANY warnings at all they will be strictly for the Outer banks and if this little storm passes 100-200 miles offshore, the weak west side will have little effect on land at all.

Just my amateur opinion..

[Derek Ortt]

Initial watch may be from New River Inlet, NC to about Sandy Hook, NJ, possibly later extended to Cape Cod, if the current forecast tracks hold