UNOFFICIAL..Shifted back to the left/low-mid confident/CAT 2

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 12:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html

Difficult forecast; enough said. Another long discussion tonight, to mix in the possibilities, or rather just state the potential setup.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

Forecast graphics now out. As an additional note, this forecast is really the best compromise I could come up with out of model guidance, and I'm not venturing out on a limb yet.

Scott

[JtSmarts]

Great Job NC, I have been enjoying your forecasts for the past two years. It seems like you are not too sold on very sharp turn to the north.

[NCHurricane]

Thanks ncww. Very thorough. As I said last night, this track is reminding me of Isabel.

[ncweatherwizard]

Well, the track is really a compromise if anything. I can't say that I'm really sold on any movement in any direction yet.

Scott