UNOFFICAL..Irene #13; BIG shift right; 85kts peak intensity

[ncweatherwizard]

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 13:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html

I'm more comfortable not compromising but *so* much this time, but in any case, big shift to the right now; the question becomes how quickly will Irene move northward and potentially northeastward in response to the shortwave and the weakness in the trough. Intensity is basically an extension of previous.

Scott

[ncweatherwizard]

Forecast graphics are now out for Forecast 13 at above link.

Scott

[RU4REAL]

odd..there is a thread now where there is a west movement...Both can't be right, geez........this is like a cartoon, (which way did he go ) comes to mind.

[ncweatherwizard]

oops...double post

[ncweatherwizard]

That somewhat westerly jog is unlikely to be a big deal at all.

[RU4REAL]

noted Ncweatherwizard, so we'll see.....good day to ya