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Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.
Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html
Forecast 14:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html
Farther right, also with model guidance. I've backed off on intensity just a bit, as shear may impact the storm a little sooner than expected, but due to the uncertainty of conditions as the storm turns, I simply level off at a Cat 1 hurricane.
Graphic soon, it's a little more difficult with the curved track...
Scott
