Irene Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#81 Postby StormsAhead » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:23 pm

WindRunner wrote:I assume that that would be enough to upgrade to a cane, right?


Not with 997-mb pressure and no 30-second winds at hurricane strength...
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#82 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:23 pm

Good point. They definately wouldn't rush it considering how far out it is.
0 likes   

StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#83 Postby StormsAhead » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:24 pm

UZNT13 KNHC 122013
XXAA 62208 99282 70674 07987 99005 24404 26546 00042 24005 26552
92723 20803 29055 85454 17400 30054 88999 77999
31313 09608 81936
61616 AF307 0109A IRENE OB 11
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2818N06740W 1938 MBL WND 27054 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 28053 005905 WL150 26554 075 =
XXBB 62208 99282 70674 07987 00005 24404 11879 18804 22850 17400
33843 17000
21212 00005 26546 11994 26558 22977 27052 33948 28557 44905 29553
55843 30054
31313 09608 81936
61616 AF307 0109A IRENE OB 11
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2818N06740W 1938 MBL WND 27054 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 28053 005905 WL150 26554 075 =

"Maximum wind band" only has 46 knots at the surface
0 likes   

User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#84 Postby x-y-no » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:24 pm

RU4REAL wrote:is it 8 or 80 :grrr:


I am as confussed as a poot in a spacesuit :eek:


It's 8, I'm sure.

80 would be well over a third of the diameter of the entire system. No way that would stay undetectable by sattelite view for this long.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#85 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:25 pm

151
SXXX50 KNHC 122020
AF307 0109A IRENE HDOB 19 KNHC
2009 2759N 06641W 01526 0060 226 059 156 124 060 01621 0000000000
2009. 2800N 06643W 01520 0058 225 057 154 128 058 01614 0000000000
2010 2801N 06644W 01528 0056 226 058 154 116 059 01619 0000000000
2010. 2802N 06645W 01521 0053 232 066 156 108 068 01609 0000000000
2011 2803N 06646W 01526 0048 230 068 152 114 069 01610 0000000000
2011. 2804N 06647W 01524 0045 232 069 156 106 069 01605 0000000000
2012 2805N 06649W 01524 0040 232 070 160 104 072 01600 0000000000
2012. 2806N 06650W 01526 0036 231 074 154 114 075 01597 0000000000
2013 2807N 06651W 01523 0033 229 067 150 134 069 01591 0000000000
2013. 2809N 06652W 01526 0028 229 069 148 146 069 01589 0000000000
2014 2810N 06653W 01522 0024 228 066 136 136 067 01582 0000000000
2014. 2811N 06655W 01529 0021 223 061 132 132 067 01586 0000000000
2015 2812N 06656W 01522 0020 225 058 146 146 063 01577 0000000000
2015. 2813N 06657W 01523 0014 232 058 154 154 062 01572 0000000000
2016 2814N 06658W 01524 0008 231 064 150 150 067 01567 0000000000
2016. 2815N 06659W 01525 0002 234 057 146 146 058 01562 0000000000
2017 2816N 06701W 01526 5004 235 057 140 140 059 01558 0000000000
2017. 2817N 06702W 01521 5009 235 056 148 148 059 01548 0000000000
2018 2818N 06703W 01524 5015 240 056 146 146 058 01545 0000000000
2018. 2819N 06704W 01522 5022 240 054 146 146 054 01536 0000000000

30second at 74! Im guessing this is going to be QCed??? :roll: :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#86 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:27 pm

It better, or else that'll be the shock of the week.
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#87 Postby clfenwi » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:29 pm

Observation Number: 11
Time transmitted: 2013Z
Position: 28.2 North // 67.4 West
Sea level Pressure: 1005 millibars
Surface Temperature/ Dewpoint Depression: 24.4/0.4
Surface winds: 46 knots // 365
1000 millibar height: 42 meters
1000 millibar temperature/DD: 24.0/0.5
1000 millibar winds: 52 knots // 265
925 millibar height: 723 meters
925 millibar temperature/DD: 20.8/0.3
925 millibar winds: 55 knots // 290
850 millibar height: 1454 meters
850 millibar temperature/DD: 17.4/0.0
850 millibar winds: 54 knots // 300
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#88 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:30 pm

whoops sorry folks that would be 47kt :lol:

^^^JUST KIDDING^^^
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#89 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:32 pm

Quit getting my hopes up like that! :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:

#90 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:36 pm

ok I don't get it was the 74kts a joke or was what you just said a joke?
0 likes   

StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#91 Postby StormsAhead » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:38 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:ok I don't get it was the 74kts a joke or was what you just said a joke?


The 74 knots is real...unless they correct it, which I doubt.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#92 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:38 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:ok I don't get it was the 74kts a joke or was what you just said a joke?


ok sry for the confusion. the 74kt was real. it was what I got from recon... I was joking about 47kts because of the QC for the eye diameter
0 likes   

User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:

#93 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:39 pm

lol ok thanks for clearing that up for me!
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#94 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:39 pm

wxwatcher91 said it was 47 instead of 74, but I don't see how that explains the 70kts above that. 7kts is a little low if you ask me.
0 likes   

User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:

#95 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:41 pm

WindRunner wrote:wxwatcher91 said it was 47 instead of 74, but I don't see how that explains the 70kts above that. 7kts is a little low if you ask me.


I think what he said about it being 47 is a joke not the 74
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#96 Postby clfenwi » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:41 pm

supplemental vortex

Storm: Storm IRENE: Observed By AF #307
Storm #09 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 62KT (71.3mph 114.8km/h) In E Quadrant At 18:50:40 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 55.8KT (64.2mph 103.3km/h) *
Misc Remarks: SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MBGOOD RADAR SIGNATURE (Report Time: 12/2015Z)
Max Inbound Flight Level Winds: 29.0N 66.7W 061KT (70.15MPH 113.0km/h) [19:14:50Z to 19:24:20Z]
Inbound Surface Wind Observed At 40KT (46MPH 74.1km/h) @ 140°
Max Outbound Flight Level Winds: 28.1N 67.5W 056KT (64.4MPH 103.7km/h) [19:33:40Z to 19:38:10Z]
Outbound Surface Wind Observed At 35KT (40.25MPH 64.8km/h) @ 290°
Data # Position Height Temp Dewpoint Wind
I01 29.1N 66.6W 850mb Height @ 1504m 13°C 13°C 053KT (60.95MPH 98.2 km/h) @ 150°
I02 28.9N 66.8W 850mb Height @ 1472m 17°C 17°C 045KT (51.75MPH 83.3 km/h) @ 140°
I03 28.7N 67.0W 850mb Height @ 1428m 19°C 18°C 034KT (39.1MPH 63.0 km/h) @ 130°
O01 28.3N 67.4W 850mb Height @ 1435m 18°C 18°C 037KT (42.55MPH 68.5 km/h) @ 320°
O02 28.1N 67.5W 850mb Height @ 1480m 14°C 14°C 055KT (63.25MPH 101.9 km/h) @ 300°
0 likes   

StormsAhead
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1447
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts

#97 Postby StormsAhead » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:42 pm

URNT12 KNHC 122039
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 12/20:23:10Z
B. 28 deg 32 min N
067 deg 15 min W
C. 850 mb 1405 m
D. 65 kt
E. 140 deg 029 nm
F. 231 deg 075 kt
G. 140 deg 034 nm
H. 997 mb
I. 16 C/ 1523 m
J. 20 C/ 1525 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. E09/80/60
N. 12345/ 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF307 0109A IRENE OB 15
MAX FL WIND 75 KT SE QUAD 20:12:20 Z

Elliptical eye...major axis through 90 degrees and is 80 nm, minor axis 60 nm in length

Motion in the past 2 hours has been 5'N and 10'W...west-northwest
Last edited by StormsAhead on Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:48 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#98 Postby clfenwi » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:43 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 122041
AF307 0109A IRENE HDOB 21 KNHC
2029 2845N 06729W 01525 5022 032 035 184 176 036 01539 0000000000
2029. 2846N 06730W 01524 5016 034 040 190 170 040 01543 0000000000
2030 2847N 06731W 01523 5012 033 042 184 170 042 01547 0000000000
2030. 2849N 06732W 01525 5008 033 041 172 172 041 01553 0000000000
2031 2850N 06734W 01525 5004 033 044 168 168 045 01556 0000000000
2031. 2851N 06735W 01525 5001 039 045 168 168 046 01560 0000000000
2032 2852N 06736W 01524 0003 036 043 172 168 043 01562 0000000000
2032. 2853N 06737W 01524 0007 035 044 170 166 045 01566 0000000000
2033 2854N 06739W 01525 0011 038 045 168 168 045 01571 0000000000
2033. 2855N 06740W 01524 0015 036 044 164 164 045 01574 0000000000
2034 2856N 06741W 01524 0018 035 046 166 166 047 01578 0000000000
2034. 2857N 06743W 01524 0021 034 046 166 166 047 01581 0000000000
2035 2858N 06744W 01524 0024 035 045 170 168 045 01584 0000000000
2036 2901N 06746W 01523 0031 034 048 176 152 049 01590 0000000000
2036. 2902N 06748W 01526 0035 034 049 168 152 051 01596 0000000000
2037 2903N 06749W 01524 0038 032 048 170 164 048 01598 0000000000
2037. 2904N 06750W 01525 0041 032 046 168 168 046 01602 0000000000
2038 2905N 06751W 01522 0042 030 050 160 160 050 01600 0000000000
2038. 2906N 06752W 01524 0044 029 049 160 160 050 01603 0000000000
2039 2907N 06754W 01524 0047 031 044 144 144 049 01606 0000000000




0 likes   

User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#99 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:44 pm

WindRunner wrote:wxwatcher91 said it was 47 instead of 74, but I don't see how that explains the 70kts above that. 7kts is a little low if you ask me.


:lol: omg! it's 95kt not 59! :lol:
0 likes   

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#100 Postby clfenwi » Fri Aug 12, 2005 3:44 pm

Storm IRENE: Observed By AF #307
Storm #09 in Atlantic Ocean
Date/Time of Recon Report: 12/2023Z
Position of the center: 28° 32' N 067° 15' W (28.5°N 67.3°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850mb: 1405m (Normal: 1457)
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 65 KT (74.75MPH 120.4km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 029nm (33.35miles) From Center At Bearing 140°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 075KT (86.25mph 138.9km/h) From 231°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 034nm (39.1 miles) From Center At Bearing 140°
Minimum pressure: 997mb (29.44in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Elliptical , E09/80/60
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 2nm
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: DESTRUCTION5, MetroMike, pepecool20 and 323 guests