INVEST 96L

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dwg71
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#121 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:00 pm

Normandy wrote:
dwg71 wrote:96L appears to be gaing lattitude quickly, its getting near 14N already.

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html


Its not gaining lattitude as quickly as you think, as it was not exactly on 10 N ever. Earlier this morning it was somewhere around 13 N, so its likely moving wnw.


And, btw, remember you suggested this would effect the Leeward Islands, so you must not be sold on this trough picking it up?


I said this "could effect the Northern Islands", the only difinitive thing I said is it would affect GOM, I'll now further that and add it wont affect US mainland. Just my call, take it or leave it.
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#122 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:01 pm

Normandy wrote:See Dwg17, that is why u shouldnt make early calls on stuff.....earlier u said Leeward, now you say fish. To much changes.


Reread post, I said it "could" affect Northern Islands.
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johngaltfla
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#123 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:03 pm

If no one said "ugh" yet, let me be the first.

I wonder if we'll get to Maria by August 31.....

:eek:
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#124 Postby Wnghs2007 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:04 pm

Wow, lol, 7 PAGES on a crappy looking Invest. :lol:
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#125 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:04 pm

Its possible we could have another 4 systems before the end of this month. Lets see if we can beat 1995 before 1933. I think some people went crazy durning years like 1995. In I don't went to think about 1933.


But yes this should be a depression soon.
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#126 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:05 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:Wow, lol, 7 PAGES on a crappy looking Invest. :lol:


By what are you calling crappy? Look at the visible satellite it has a well defined LLC forming. It looks almost as that crappy system named Irene. In doe's have a LLC supported by quickscats.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#127 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:06 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its possible we could have another 4 systems before the end of this month. Lets see if we can beat 1995 before 1933. I think some people went crazy durning years like 1995. In I don't went to think about 1933.


But yes this should be a depression soon.


What I think would be awesome is for Irene not to make it to hurricane status (not likely though) and Jose do the same and we would be at 10/2/2.
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#128 Postby cinlfla » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:06 pm

does anyone have a link for 96L, someone posted one earlier but I could not navigate through the site
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#129 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:07 pm

That'd be great to show off in twenty years!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

and click on 96L.INVEST on the top left of the page.
Last edited by WindRunner on Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#130 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:08 pm

Look at the floater on the left.
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html
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#131 Postby cinlfla » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:11 pm

Look at the floater on the left.



All I see is Irene when I click on the floater.
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#132 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:12 pm

No the one over the Gulf which=central Atlantic wave. Also the first few might skip.
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#133 Postby cinlfla » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:14 pm

Ok got it Thanks for helping me out :D
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#134 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:22 pm

n/p


I'm waiting for more quickscats and then for some t numbers.
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#135 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:23 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 122122
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON STRENGTHENING
TROPICAL STORM IRENE...LOCATED ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA
AND ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

SATELLITE DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE WELL-DEFINED
LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS BEEN GRADUALLY INCREASING AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART
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#136 Postby cinlfla » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:25 pm

Awsome...Soon to be a depression
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#137 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:27 pm

Forget it.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#138 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:27 pm

cinlfla wrote:Awsome...Soon to be a depression


Hey my friend this is your thread.I haved been editing the title several times to put the TWO and models announcement there.It's ok for me to edit your title. :)
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#139 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:33 pm

The LLC has become much tighter/organized. Outflow is becoming better defined. I expect the quickscats to show a well defined LLC. But knowing the quickscats who knows.

Also waiting for t numbers to come in.
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#140 Postby cinlfla » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:37 pm

Hey my friend this is your thread.I haved been editing the title several times to put the TWO and models announcement there.It's ok for me to edit your title.



I knew you were editing the titile so everyone knew what was going on :D
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