west movement

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deltadog03
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#201 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:31 pm

ok...the center is on the SE side of all of the convection right?? look how just east of that...theres nothing...its on the edge...maybe some easterly shear some how??
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#202 Postby jrod » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:33 pm

storms in NC wrote:Now do you see why any reason we should keep a eye on this for NC. If coast is clear going Fishing Sat and Sun


Fish behavior can be a sign that trouble is on the way. Triple tail for example get extremly active before a storm hits, I guess the have some instinct that tells then bad weather is on the way so better eat as much as possible before it gets there. With that, anyone know whats been biting in the OBX area?
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#203 Postby shaggy » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:37 pm

is it just me or is the NW side of the storm being squashed and its becoming more SE to NE oriented?Very strange appearance on the WV the trough seems to be skirting to the NE side of irene and possibly a thin ridge replacing it.I am no expert but just some obs i have noticed on this WV image


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#204 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Aug 12, 2005 4:42 pm

Off the top of my head, it looks to me like Irene will be putting on the brakes real soon and then doing a relatively abrupt turn to the N and then NE. JMHO.
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#205 Postby du1st » Fri Aug 12, 2005 5:32 pm

Give it up folks. Irene is a fish.
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#206 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 12, 2005 5:35 pm

What it is doing right now conforms to it hitting the trough and turning NE. Too early to tell.

The surface spiral is exposed on the SE edge. This would conform to the lower center hitting the turning feature while the ULL sweeps the convection NW...
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#207 Postby du1st » Fri Aug 12, 2005 5:44 pm

So are you saying it's a fish sanibel?
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#208 Postby shaggy » Fri Aug 12, 2005 6:06 pm

i might would agree sanibel but theres no trough on the west side of the storm theres a trough north and northeast of her with a ridge to the NW.I think the flattening edge is her feeling the ridge.If i am correct the WV of the NW atlantic shows a ridge from NC out to the NE of bermuda if i am mistaken please let me know but i do not think i am
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#209 Postby du1st » Fri Aug 12, 2005 6:15 pm

ncdowneast wrote:i might would agree sanibel but theres no trough on the west side of the storm theres a trough north and northeast of her with a ridge to the NW.I think the flattening edge is her feeling the ridge.If i am correct the WV of the NW atlantic shows a ridge from NC out to the NE of bermuda if i am mistaken please let me know but i do not think i am
So you say no fish.
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shaggy
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#210 Postby shaggy » Fri Aug 12, 2005 6:19 pm

i am saying i am not sold until tonights models with the GIV data but right now i seeing a squashed storm that is running into a ridge to the north which concerns me just a little.
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#211 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 6:33 pm

ncdowneast wrote:i am saying i am not sold until tonights models with the GIV data but right now i seeing a squashed storm that is running into a ridge to the north which concerns me just a little.


Hey downeast what is your concern? you feel JB might be right
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#212 Postby shaggy » Fri Aug 12, 2005 6:38 pm

not saying that either storms but it seems possible after viewing the WV imagery.If that ridge continues to slide east then its still a concern so until its north of 35N i will be watching closely.I will concede after the Gulfstream IV data has been entered into the models but that ridge is concerning me right now as i am not convinced yet that she will turn into the building ridge to her NNE just habit from watching storms do crazy things over the years
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#213 Postby storms in NC » Fri Aug 12, 2005 6:41 pm

that is very true. But I don't think we will know till Sat.
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