ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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onadraw
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4981 Postby onadraw » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:19 pm

Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4982 Postby chaser1 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:20 pm

Orlando wrote:
Abdullah wrote:99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png


They had a tornado that came through that area. I watched the coverage on the local news WFTV. It covered at least a 51 mile stretch south to north.


Serious?? HOLY CRAP! Since when has there been a tornado in Florida that impacted 50 miles?? I never have. Was there any video caught of that tornado?
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4983 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:20 pm

Last observed tornado warning was just about an hour ago.
Worst maybe over
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4984 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:21 pm

onadraw wrote:Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.


already did...made the turn and going ENE now according to radar
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4985 Postby StormPyrate » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:21 pm

St Pete just reported cutting power to two water treatment plants ahead of aniticapted surge
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4986 Postby dukeblue219 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:22 pm

NOAA is in the eye now. 945.6mb extrap
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4987 Postby MarioProtVI » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:22 pm

Birds apparently in the eye AGAIN..
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4988 Postby AtlanticWind » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:22 pm

onadraw wrote:Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.


Looks like it may be turning east now by the radar
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4989 Postby bjackrian » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:22 pm

Sarasota (KSRQ) reporting a peak wind gust of 67kt (77mph) in the last 10 minutes.

KSRQ 092212Z 10031G67KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC015 26/24 A2899 RMK AO2 PK WND 10067/2208 PRESFR P0020 T02560244
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4990 Postby kevin » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:23 pm

First recon pass.

Min. extrapolated pressure = 945.6 mb with 10 kt FL nearby -> 945 mb
Max. FL winds = 111 kt -> 100 kt at the surface
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4991 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:24 pm

Seems my father in laws home may have taken a direct hit from the large tornado that moved through The Acreage in Palm Beach County.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4992 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:24 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:
onadraw wrote:Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.


Looks like it may be turning east now by the radar


Looks that way to my own untrained eye to me too. Looks like almost due east.

Ryan Hall is saying that the surge is coming up fast in Naples and also Port Charlotte.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4993 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:25 pm

bjackrian wrote:Sarasota (KSRQ) reporting a peak wind gust of 67kt (77mph) in the last 10 minutes.

KSRQ 092212Z 10031G67KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC015 26/24 A2899 RMK AO2 PK WND 10067/2208 PRESFR P0020 T02560244


I'll buy that. Amateur observation eyeball only, definitely some 70 mph+ gusts. Larger branches starting to fly off trees. South Sarasota.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4994 Postby StormPyrate » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:25 pm

by this radar, it looks like Sarasota is still in play
Praying for those folks they have had a time
https://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/Ra ... /loop.html
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4995 Postby loon » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:26 pm

whew, storms like this is why i am glad i am not a met.. they're gonna catch hell no matter what the outcome.. hats off to all of you pros out there.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4996 Postby Soluna16 » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:26 pm

My parents workplace took a direct hit from a tornado in Vero Beach.
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4997 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:27 pm

kevin wrote:First recon pass.

Min. extrapolated pressure = 945.6 mb with 10 kt FL nearby -> 945 mb
Max. FL winds = 111 kt -> 100 kt at the surface


Still a strong 3
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4998 Postby StormPyrate » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:28 pm

loon wrote:whew, storms like this is why i am glad i am not a met.. they're gonna catch hell no matter what the outcome.. hats off to all of you pros out there.

Amen
This one must have been the source of many a grey hairs
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#4999 Postby tronbunny » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:28 pm

skillz305 wrote:
johngaltfla wrote:
Abdullah wrote:99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png


Holy smokes!!!!



Not true. My whole neighborhood still has power…Vero

Up-to-date Power Outages
https://www.wesh.com/article/florida-power-outages-hurricane-milton/62546382
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Re: ATL: MILTON - Hurricane - Discussion

#5000 Postby bjackrian » Wed Oct 09, 2024 5:31 pm

kevin wrote:First recon pass.

Min. extrapolated pressure = 945.6 mb with 10 kt FL nearby -> 945 mb
Max. FL winds = 111 kt -> 100 kt at the surface


Interesting that it looks like the strongest FL winds are on the south side of the circulation when the north side looks much better on radar.
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