ATL: MILTON - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cheezyWXguy]

Hurricane models nailed this one. The South side is totally dried out. Realistically with this radar presentation Tampa has the best chance of seeing high winds with the North part being the only healthy remaining part of the eyewall.

Agreed. To me, Tampa looks to get the rain and whatever winds this has, Sarasota and points south look to take the brunt of the surge. Outside of any surprise wobbles, looks to me like landfall will occur between Bradenton and Sarasota.

[onadraw]

Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.

[chaser1]

99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png

They had a tornado that came through that area. I watched the coverage on the local news WFTV. It covered at least a 51 mile stretch south to north.

Serious?? HOLY CRAP! Since when has there been a tornado in Florida that impacted 50 miles?? I never have. Was there any video caught of that tornado?

[GCANE]

Last observed tornado warning was just about an hour ago.
Worst maybe over

[CronkPSU]

Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.

already did...made the turn and going ENE now according to radar

[StormPyrate]

St Pete just reported cutting power to two water treatment plants ahead of aniticapted surge

[dukeblue219]

NOAA is in the eye now. 945.6mb extrap

[MarioProtVI]

Birds apparently in the eye AGAIN..

[AtlanticWind]

Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.

Looks like it may be turning east now by the radar

[bjackrian]

Sarasota (KSRQ) reporting a peak wind gust of 67kt (77mph) in the last 10 minutes.

KSRQ 092212Z 10031G67KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC015 26/24 A2899 RMK AO2 PK WND 10067/2208 PRESFR P0020 T02560244

[kevin]

First recon pass.

Min. extrapolated pressure = 945.6 mb with 10 kt FL nearby -> 945 mb
Max. FL winds = 111 kt -> 100 kt at the surface

[Bocadude85]

Seems my father in laws home may have taken a direct hit from the large tornado that moved through The Acreage in Palm Beach County.

[LAwxrgal]

Looks like it's coming ashore sooner than anyone thought. Is this still going to turn East? Worried up north.

Looks like it may be turning east now by the radar

Looks that way to my own untrained eye to me too. Looks like almost due east.

Ryan Hall is saying that the surge is coming up fast in Naples and also Port Charlotte.

[johngaltfla]

Sarasota (KSRQ) reporting a peak wind gust of 67kt (77mph) in the last 10 minutes.

KSRQ 092212Z 10031G67KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC015 26/24 A2899 RMK AO2 PK WND 10067/2208 PRESFR P0020 T02560244

I'll buy that. Amateur observation eyeball only, definitely some 70 mph+ gusts. Larger branches starting to fly off trees. South Sarasota.

[StormPyrate]

by this radar, it looks like Sarasota is still in play
Praying for those folks they have had a time
https://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/Ra ... /loop.html

[loon]

whew, storms like this is why i am glad i am not a met.. they're gonna catch hell no matter what the outcome.. hats off to all of you pros out there.

[Soluna16]

My parents workplace took a direct hit from a tornado in Vero Beach.

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

First recon pass.

Min. extrapolated pressure = 945.6 mb with 10 kt FL nearby -> 945 mb
Max. FL winds = 111 kt -> 100 kt at the surface

Still a strong 3

[StormPyrate]

whew, storms like this is why i am glad i am not a met.. they're gonna catch hell no matter what the outcome.. hats off to all of you pros out there.

Amen
This one must have been the source of many a grey hairs

[tronbunny]

99% of Indian River County residents have lost power

https://i.imgur.com/26hhWvr.png

Holy smokes!!!!

Not true. My whole neighborhood still has power…Vero

Up-to-date Power Outages
https://www.wesh.com/article/florida-power-outages-hurricane-milton/62546382