TD 10...Back Again

[skufful]

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png

Basically, anywhere's fair game.

[artist]

remember the CLP5 is not a model.

[mascpa]

Reading all of thee posts is making my head spin. I'm reading contradictory interpretations of the same information by very knowledgeable people. I don't know what to think anymore. Time for a break!!

[dwg71]

Reading all of thee posts is making my head spin. I'm reading contradictory interpretations of the same information by very knowledgeable people. I don't know what to think anymore. Time for a break!!

Anytime you have nearly 800 posts on a dissipated TD, it can get a tad tedious.

[gkrangers]

Reading all of thee posts is making my head spin. I'm reading contradictory interpretations of the same information by very knowledgeable people. I don't know what to think anymore. Time for a break!!

10L is disorganized at this hour. It may have a weak surface circulation. It is still being affected by unfavorable upper level winds. With that said, it could still become a TS in a few days. Those in the northern Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida should monitor the situation right now.

[jabber]

Zoom in on the visible Floater loop and you can see a circular feature that I think is the 'eye' center just NNE of Anguilla.

I don't think posters realize important things may be happening right now. There appears to be a significant increase in forward speed and possible straightening back more west that could be the sign of being picked up by a strong ridge...

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I am sorry but I really do not see much. At least in the last couple days we had a swirl be it naked, but a swirl all the same. I think currently it looks the worse it has along (after being downgraded) I think the most Florida or anyone else for that matter will see from this is some rain and a little wind. Even if it does manage to pull itself together again tonight shear charts show it will not have much time before getting hammered again. My forecast is no regeneration, but a weak wave that effects Florida next mid next week. Whoops better put a disclaimer

[cycloneye]

18/1745 UTC 18.7N 59.1W TOO WEAK 10 -- Atlantic Ocean


The latest Dvorak SSD T numbers are none.Adios to former 10.

[wxmann_91]

Let TD 10 die. I'm already tired of tracking it and it has been only a few days. And there is already 41 pgs. to this thread and four pages also dealing with this piece of junk on another thread.

[mahicks]

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png

Basically, anywhere's fair game.

Models look to be in decent consensus, except for Clipper, which is not a model.

The real question is....We he make it??

[WeatherEmperor]

well looks like that just about does it for former TD10. Now its up to the recon to officially confirm this so we can all just move on with our lives.

<RICKY>

[piedmont2]

How many pages did you have with Ivan last year? 41 for an ex TD!? lol

[vbhoutex]

Zoom in on the visible Floater loop and you can see a circular feature that I think is the 'eye' center just NNE of Anguilla.

I don't think posters realize important things may be happening right now. There appears to be a significant increase in forward speed and possible straightening back more west that could be the sign of being picked up by a strong ridge...

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I am sorry but I really do not see much. At least in the last couple days we had a swirl be it naked, but a swirl all the same. I think currently it looks the worse it has along (after being downgraded) I think the most Florida or anyone else for that matter will see from this is some rain and a little wind. Even if it does manage to pull itself together again tonight shear charts show it will not have much time before getting hammered again. My forecast is no regeneration, but a weak wave that effects Florida next mid next week. Whoops better put a disclaimer

Took the words right out of my mouth Jabber. Just not much there, but I do see the features others are talking about. The problem is the SWerly shear is not abating and continues all the way to Hispaniola from what I can see. No regeneration anytime soon and possible dissapation(officialy)later today after recon is through.

[clfenwi]

CLIPER *is* a model, it's just a statistical one, not dynamic.

That is what NHC uses as the baseline for all the other models; their performance is measured against it.

Similarly, SHIFOR is the statistical model for intensity that is used as the baseline for intensity guidance. Sadly, there are models that do worse than it on average.

[rockyman]

Let TD 10 die. I'm already tired of tracking it and it has been only a few days. And there is already 41 pgs. to this thread and four pages also dealing with this piece of junk on another thread.

OK, what would you like to talk about?

[elysium]

Sanibel just made the observation of the year; TD 10 is tracking more to the west with a center NNW of Antigua.

I have been looking at the east west orientation of the trough scheduled to come off the east coast in a few days. Has anyone else seen this?

[artist]

thanks for clarifying that clfenwi!

[wxmann_91]

Let TD 10 die. I'm already tired of tracking it and it has been only a few days. And there is already 41 pgs. to this thread and four pages also dealing with this piece of junk on another thread.

OK, what would you like to talk about?

A nice fat jumbo CV Cat 5 storm that doesn't affect anybody.

[WeatherEmperor]

well I guess we can start talking about that wave that is supposed to move off Africa late tonigt into early tomorrow morning that most of the models are developing into a cyclone. So we could just take the remainder of the day off, pending confirmation from the hurricane hunters that TD10 is nothing and take things from there I guess.

<RICKY>

[DESTRUCTION5]

Folks this has been happening for days now(Up and Down)...Its certainly not written off yet...Wait till that Shear calms Jose is going to be born!!!! I say Cat 1 in the Bahamas..

[rockyman]

Let TD 10 die. I'm already tired of tracking it and it has been only a few days. And there is already 41 pgs. to this thread and four pages also dealing with this piece of junk on another thread.

OK, what would you like to talk about?

A nice fat jumbo CV Cat 5 storm that doesn't affect anybody.

When I see one of those, I'll holler for you Until then, I guess we'll just keep wasting bandwidth discussing this "piece of junk."