They will only investigate IF there is evidence of a surface low....southfloridawx2005 wrote:what will they find?
If it doesn't look good when its time for recon, they won't go.
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ULL would shear the system in the upper levels, not allowing cold convective tops to form and organize.southfloridawx2005 wrote:What will the interaction with the ULL do to this possible system? What are a factors in this and why is the NHC still watching this for this to develope?
clfenwi wrote:While there may be a battle royale in the NHC over this, if something were to develop, I would have to think that it would get a new depression number and not be considered a continuation of 10.
As far as shear goes, it really has more to do with the upper level anti-cyclone over the southeast U.S. than the Upper Level Low. The forecast remains for it do die out, thereby leaving a favorable enviroment. Compare the 0h and 24 h 200-850 mb shear forecasts of the various models at http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
Ok, well they know ALOT more than we dosouthfloridawx2005 wrote:Interesting ... what do they know we don't??
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