Is there really nothing to worry about.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Is there really nothing to worry about.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Sep 02, 2005 9:51 am

with Maria? She sure looks pretty darn healthy to me this morning:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#2 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 02, 2005 9:53 am

By the way, it's now TS Maria, TD 14 has intensified. As you said, there is nothing worry about with this system since it's looking like a fish already. But, we have to keep an eye on her until everyone is cleared, especially Bermuda!
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#3 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:03 am

Fish... Always keep an eye on it, but it's very far north already.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7240
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:
Contact jlauderdal

Re: Is there really nothing to worry about.....

#4 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:07 am

dixiebreeze wrote:with Maria? She sure looks pretty darn healthy to me this morning:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg


fish storm, lets lock and delete this thread
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Re: Is there really nothing to worry about.....

#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:11 am

jlauderdal wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:with Maria? She sure looks pretty darn healthy to me this morning:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg


fish storm, lets lock and delete this thread


Well, that's a rather disingenuous statement. When the NHC says "fish," then I will stop watching it.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#6 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:12 am

They basically did...

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM
MARIA...NO THREAT TO LAND...

ON THIS TRACK..MARIA WILL BE MOVING OVER OPEN
WATERS.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:13 am

Brent wrote:They basically did...

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM
MARIA...NO THREAT TO LAND...

ON THIS TRACK..MARIA WILL BE MOVING OVER OPEN
WATERS.


Saw that, Brent, but I don't consider it definitive at this stage of the scenario.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#8 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:32 am

dixiebreeze wrote:
Brent wrote:They basically did...

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM
MARIA...NO THREAT TO LAND...

ON THIS TRACK..MARIA WILL BE MOVING OVER OPEN
WATERS.


Saw that, Brent, but I don't consider it definitive at this stage of the scenario.


I don't either... but I think if it were to be a U.S. threat... it would be pretty far north and not the Gulf or Florida... I'd put the chances at less than 10% right now... nothing in weather is ever definite.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
scostorms
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 225
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 8:56 pm
Location: Topeka, Kansas
Contact:
Contact scostorms

#9 Postby scostorms » Fri Sep 02, 2005 11:29 am

Could she suddenly turn to the west, and affect Nova Scota or Maine?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:
Contact JamesFromMaine2

#10 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 11:35 am

if I remember correctly yesterday one of the models had it stop before canada and come into Maine! so yes it is possible!
0 likes   
Top
LarryWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6853
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

#11 Postby LarryWx » Fri Sep 02, 2005 11:37 am

I'd put chances of a US hit at near zero based on climo alone. Since 1851, not a single TC moving NWerly at any point while east of 48W has ever come back to hit the U.S. That stat speaks volumes in my opinion. This TC did just that.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#12 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 12:03 pm

I think it will become a hurricane. There's a CDO already over the center.
Probably some rough surf for the East Coast next week, at the very least.
0 likes   
Top
nequad
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 303
Joined: Tue Aug 16, 2005 3:36 pm

#13 Postby nequad » Fri Sep 02, 2005 12:06 pm

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/mywxmap/char ... 1&tau=7200



120hr nogaps makes landfall for Maria over Nova Scotia as it interacts with a potent s/w trough. Rather close to Maine. But the Canadian Maritimes are much more likely to get hit than the US mainland.
0 likes   
Top
scostorms
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 225
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 8:56 pm
Location: Topeka, Kansas
Contact:
Contact scostorms

#14 Postby scostorms » Fri Sep 02, 2005 12:13 pm

If anything is threatning Canadian waters, I would imagine the CHC will be issuing a statement on Maria probably today at 3pm. If anything is made of, I will bring it to you.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
BensonTCwatcher
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1050
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:11 pm
Location: Southport NC

#15 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Fri Sep 02, 2005 12:25 pm

I don't think Maria got the memo....she appears to be off the forcast track now. WNW looks like now
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:
Contact JamesFromMaine2

#16 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 12:32 pm

should we here in Maine start worrying yet? lol I am right on the coast! lol the ocean is maybe a 5 or 10min walk from my house! lol
0 likes   
Top
DoctorHurricane2003

#17 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 12:49 pm

Considering the term 'fish' is a nontechnical, absurd way to describe a system that stays in open waters...I seriously doubt that the NHC will ever say 'Maria is a fish.'

But to answer your question, things can change, but most likely won't.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

Re: Is there really nothing to worry about.....

#18 Postby fci » Fri Sep 02, 2005 12:58 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:with Maria? She sure looks pretty darn healthy to me this morning:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg


fish storm, lets lock and delete this thread


I'm thinking that you were joking.
LOL, if you are :lol:

Rolling eyes at your wanting to lock a thread about a new storm when we are looking at the Talking Tropics board! (if you were serious of course) :roll:
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#19 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 02, 2005 1:05 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:should we here in Maine start worrying yet? lol I am right on the coast! lol the ocean is maybe a 5 or 10min walk from my house! lol


How warm is the water??
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38265
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#20 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 02, 2005 1:06 pm

BensonTCwatcher wrote:I don't think Maria got the memo....she appears to be off the forcast track now. WNW looks like now


Well... someone inform her.

:lol:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], ronjon and 350 guests