Nate:
A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS IS DRIFTING SLOWLY
NORTHWARD. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE GRADUALLY BEEN
INCREASING THIS MORNING... AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
Ophelia
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED
OVER THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND
SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY
STATIONARY SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE.
Phileppe (new model runs on 92L)
SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
Rita
TROPICAL WAVE ADDED NEAR DAKAR S OF 22N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A
1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14.5N18W. THE WAVE HAD A 45 KT
JET ON THE 00Z SOUNDING FROM DAKAR WITH DEEP LOW-LEVEL SW FLOW
UP TO 850 MB. WINDS HAVE RECENTLY TURNED TO THE SSE AT DAKAR..
INDICATING THE LOW IS PROBABLY JUST W OF THAT LOCATION.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-16N BETWEEN 15W-20W WITH
ONE LARGE TSTM NEAR 15.5N18.5W. THIS WAVE SHOULD BRING AN
ENHANCED CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS LATE TODAY
INTO MON.









