94L better organized

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

94L better organized

#1 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:02 pm

Looking at the latest satellite imagery 94l is becoming better organized. The broad center appears to be consolidating a bit more and his highly visible on the vis this afternoon. The Llc based on surface and Hi-res imagery appears to be about 75 miles E of Miami and 60 miles S of Freeport in the bahamas. I expect deep convection to fire over or near the center this evening. This should also bring in locally very heavy rainfall in bands from Jupiter south to Miami. GFS 18z brings the system very near the se florida coast in 48 hours. Either way it's not going to move much and the potential for flooding rains along the Florida east coast may become a problem. At this point if we do see development I think a 35-55 mph storm is possible anywhere from Miami northward...


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:06 pm

I agree. One more thing this reminds me of MS Katrina a little. The difference is Katrina was farther away from the coast. Other wise I agree...

This is a interesting hurricane season we got going on here.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#3 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:12 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I agree. One more thing this reminds me of MS Katrina a little. The difference is Katrina was farther away from the coast. Other wise I agree...

This is a interesting hurricane season we got going on here.


Yup. Certainly quite a season
0 likes   
Top
tracyswfla
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 792
Joined: Tue May 18, 2004 1:19 pm
Location: Rochester, NY

#4 Postby tracyswfla » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:13 pm

Do I see a spin? Our local mets are saying we will keep a close eye on it!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#5 Postby WindRunner » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:24 pm

Hmmm, going against the NHC discussion and forecasting the diurnal blossoms of convection. Daring, yet not. I don't doubt that it will eventually develop, I am just reading the TWO.
0 likes   
Top
Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1772
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: SW Broward, FL

#6 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:32 pm

There was a lot of forecasted rain for today, but the actual amounts were pretty pathetic. I went running on the beach, thinking it was going to remain cloudy, but I had to cut it short because the freaking sun came out.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
beachbum_al
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Age: 55
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
Location: South Alabama Coast
Contact:
Contact beachbum_al

#7 Postby beachbum_al » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:34 pm

I don't like this one. It is like deja vu all over again.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:12 pm

Definately reminding me too much of Katrina, keep it away from the gulf please.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Noah
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 541
Joined: Fri Sep 24, 2004 10:41 am
Location: Sarasota FL

#9 Postby Noah » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:37 pm

IS this supposed to cross over southwest fl?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#10 Postby Swimdude » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:43 pm

Noah wrote:IS this supposed to cross over southwest fl?


According to Ed Brandon [Houston met], it's actually supposed to head inland and move North over FL. Then again, Katrina was supposed to do that too.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Sep 05, 2005 7:49 pm

1010 mb and 20 knts. -- from NRL:


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Wein and 121 guests