94L better organized

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Vortex
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94L better organized

#1 Postby Vortex » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:02 pm

Looking at the latest satellite imagery 94l is becoming better organized. The broad center appears to be consolidating a bit more and his highly visible on the vis this afternoon. The Llc based on surface and Hi-res imagery appears to be about 75 miles E of Miami and 60 miles S of Freeport in the bahamas. I expect deep convection to fire over or near the center this evening. This should also bring in locally very heavy rainfall in bands from Jupiter south to Miami. GFS 18z brings the system very near the se florida coast in 48 hours. Either way it's not going to move much and the potential for flooding rains along the Florida east coast may become a problem. At this point if we do see development I think a 35-55 mph storm is possible anywhere from Miami northward...


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:06 pm

I agree. One more thing this reminds me of MS Katrina a little. The difference is Katrina was farther away from the coast. Other wise I agree...

This is a interesting hurricane season we got going on here.
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#3 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:12 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I agree. One more thing this reminds me of MS Katrina a little. The difference is Katrina was farther away from the coast. Other wise I agree...

This is a interesting hurricane season we got going on here.


Yup. Certainly quite a season
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#4 Postby tracyswfla » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:13 pm

Do I see a spin? Our local mets are saying we will keep a close eye on it!
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#5 Postby WindRunner » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:24 pm

Hmmm, going against the NHC discussion and forecasting the diurnal blossoms of convection. Daring, yet not. I don't doubt that it will eventually develop, I am just reading the TWO.
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#6 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:32 pm

There was a lot of forecasted rain for today, but the actual amounts were pretty pathetic. I went running on the beach, thinking it was going to remain cloudy, but I had to cut it short because the freaking sun came out.
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#7 Postby beachbum_al » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:34 pm

I don't like this one. It is like deja vu all over again.
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:12 pm

Definately reminding me too much of Katrina, keep it away from the gulf please.
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#9 Postby Noah » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:37 pm

IS this supposed to cross over southwest fl?
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#10 Postby Swimdude » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:43 pm

Noah wrote:IS this supposed to cross over southwest fl?


According to Ed Brandon [Houston met], it's actually supposed to head inland and move North over FL. Then again, Katrina was supposed to do that too.
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#11 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Sep 05, 2005 7:49 pm

1010 mb and 20 knts. -- from NRL:


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables
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