Where's she gonna come onshore..?

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jaxfladude
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#21 Postby jaxfladude » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:30 pm

What I want: Out to sea!
What I think: Too close for my comfort!
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#22 Postby gpickett00 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:59 pm

when do you all think that coastal counties will cancel school? I live in brevard county, kennedy space center area, so that is why I am interested.
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jdray
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#23 Postby jdray » Tue Sep 06, 2005 10:11 pm

Coming ashore just south of St. Augustine.

70mph - maybe 80mph.
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#24 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:23 pm

I'm thinking the same as jdray, and then heading west but staying out of the GOM, spreading lots of rain along the coast of the GOM. Just my take on it.
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#25 Postby FlSteel » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:29 pm

It's still too early to tell but if I were to take a guess, I would be thinking from St. Augustine to Brunswick Ga right now. Rare for a storm to make landfall in this neck of the woods but like everyone has said so many times this year, you can not predict the tropics. History continues to be written. We have not been hit here in Jax in over 40 years, maybe out time is up. :(
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#26 Postby drudd1 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 5:39 am

Wherever she wants, and she hasn't made her mind up yet.
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sweetpea
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#27 Postby sweetpea » Wed Sep 07, 2005 6:09 am

All of us here in NE Florida are in for a real crappy weekend. Just be prepared and stay safe. Debbie
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#28 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Sep 07, 2005 6:19 am

Ormond Beach, Daytona area.
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#29 Postby fci » Wed Sep 07, 2005 6:35 am

A brush of the Carolina coast on its way out to sea.
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#30 Postby tailgater » Wed Sep 07, 2005 6:40 am

My eyes make be playing tricks on me but on the latest radar loop of about 3 hrs. she seems to have a westward drift but the LLC is very hard to keep up with as it seems to reform often.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?
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digitaldahling
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Impact thinks it will weaken

#31 Postby digitaldahling » Wed Sep 07, 2005 10:02 am

while crossing northern Florida, re-enter the GOM and gradually intensify.

Those of us on the GOM are holding our collective breaths.
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#32 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 10:15 am

im gonna say somewhere around daytona beach...maybe just south of there...
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#33 Postby Skywatch_NC » Wed Sep 07, 2005 10:32 am

Looks as though the models have gone INsane...

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

Eric
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LAwxrgal
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#34 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Sep 07, 2005 10:40 am

Skywatch_NC wrote:Looks as though the models have gone INsane...

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... model.html

Eric


I don't guess the models are sure at this point where this thing is going. But I will say this. I don't like the GFDL solution (even though it was right-on with Katrina) because it puts this storm in the gulf in the direction of the mouth of the river.
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#35 Postby NastyCat4 » Wed Sep 07, 2005 11:50 am

Less than 1% chance of a Daytona-Ormond-St.Aug Landfall if there is a landfall. It is around 29 N NOW, and is till on a NW heading--if it landfalls it would be closer to Jax/Ga border.
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#36 Postby Jim Cantore » Wed Sep 07, 2005 11:55 am

I cant be more then 5% sure on this but between Brunswick and St Augustine
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x-y-no
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#37 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 07, 2005 11:59 am

tailgater wrote:My eyes make be playing tricks on me but on the latest radar loop of about 3 hrs. she seems to have a westward drift but the LLC is very hard to keep up with as it seems to reform often.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/radar/displayRad.php?


I've had the Melbourne radar on all morning, and best I can say is practically no motion. Maybe the tiniest bit of westward drift, but that's as likely to be an artifact of the center getting tighter as it is to be a genuine motion.
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x-y-no
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#38 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 07, 2005 12:01 pm

BTW, in answer to the original question, I'll say a bit south of Cape Canaveral, and moving slowly enough over the peninsula that it dissipates.

(that last may be wishful thinking)
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