Tropical Storm Ophelia

[Scorpion]

Hmm things have certainly changed since this morning. Now more of a threat to the coast of Florida. Many models are hugging the loop.

[Steve H.]

We may have a hurricane at 5pm. 67knots

[cinlfla]

For the second run in a row, the ECMWF (12Z out) hits extreme NE FL on SUN 9/11.

Do you have a link or an image?

[LarryWx]

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... !chart.gif

I would post an image, but I don't know how to do it at this BB!

[Rainband]

bad link

[TPACane04]

OK, with all due respect to the models, watch the GFDL loop and look at the GFS.

They move Nate out pretty fast huh? I don't think that will happen. Nate is moving slower than that that. He will more likely still be there to pump up the ridge to Ophelia's east. That will keep the storm from moving out to sea. I STILL don't buy the loop and the landfall. The storm is not moving and proably won't until the ridge to her west forces her E a bit or NE ( which may be happening) I don't think this will pull a Jeanne since the ridge to the west is forecast pretty well over the eastern US in the coming days.

Of course I'll eat my crow when she loops, but I'm betting agaist it

Crow may be served...if last year was any indication.

Please read the previous posts on how a departing storm (Nate this year) serves to pump the backside ridge, which can cause the Ophelia loop de loo, and if this happens, it will be the "media-fest" of the year, given what Katrina just did.

the 12z GFDL is NOT what FL needs, or anyone else is US coast for that matter.

[Rainband]

I posted it for you

[LarryWx]

I posted it for you

Would you please tell me how to post an image here as an attachment?
Thanks

[Coredesat]

bad link

Exclamation points break links. Just copy and paste the whole thing.

[Rainband]

I posted it for you

Would you please tell me how to post an image here as an attachment?
Thanks

[img].........................................insert infor here.......[/img]

[LarryWx]

I posted it for you

Would you please tell me how to post an image here as an attachment?
Thanks

[img].........................................insert infor here.......[/img]

When you say "insert infor here", what information do you put there, the file name on your harddrive or the URL? Thanks

[Rainband]

Yes

[jdray]

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... emp_24.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... emp_48.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... emp_72.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... emp_96.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... mp_120.gif


It has a tendency to be biased to the west. But coupled with the Ruskin Disco....

I wont stop watching this thing till it is either out to sea and dissapated, or inland and gone.

[Jevo]

yeah well i have a big 1 finger salute for ophelia.. she messed up my close on my house tomorrow..

i hope you suck in a huge gulp of dry air and die like the little@#$!@# you are Ophelia

[LarryWx]

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/ecmwf_850_temp_24.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... emp_48.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... emp_72.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... emp_96.gif
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ECMWF/e ... mp_120.gif


It has a tendency to be biased to the west. But coupled with the Ruskin Disco....

I wont stop watching this thing till it is either out to sea and dissapated, or inland and gone.

That is still the old run (0Z THU).

[chris_fit]

Pressure now 985. FL Lvl Winds at 66knts.

[LarryWx]

[jdray]

sorry, 12Z run shows the same as well.

http://tinyurl.com/ddsuz

[sweetpea]

Pressure now 985. FL Lvl Winds at 66knts.

How do you convert knots to mph? Thanks Debbie

[cinlfla]

Thanks Larrywx for posting the image.