Will Texas get its share?

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susan
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#21 Postby susan » Mon Sep 05, 2005 10:13 pm

I hope our luck or whatever pattern Galveston has been in for the past 20 years sticks around another few weeks.
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southerngale
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#22 Postby southerngale » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:42 am

Jim Hughes wrote:
jeff wrote:TX is not out of the woods for a tropical system landfall. It is early September and many systems have struck TX in Sept.

Residents should have their hurricane plans ready. Hopefully what has happened with Katrina will scare many into action when the time comes to put those plans in place.


They have had some TS's but I think only one or two hurricanes have made landfall in Texas during the past twenty years or so. They have either been been very lucky or there might be some kind of decadal pattern going on.


Jim


Well, a few more hurricanes than that.

2005 - 0 (so far)
2004 - 0
2003 - 1 (Hurricane Claudette)
2002 - 0
2001 - 0
2000 - 0
1999 - 1 (Hurricane Bret)
1998 - 0
1997 - 0
1996 - 0
1995 - 0
1994 - 0
1993 - 0
1992 - 0
1991 - 0
1990 - 0
1989 - 1 (Hurricane Chantal)
1988 - 0
1987 - 0
1986 - 1 (Hurricane Bonnie)

And then Hurricane Alicia in 1983, so 5 in 22 years.
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#23 Postby Hyperstorm » Tue Sep 06, 2005 7:00 am

southerngale wrote:
Jim Hughes wrote:
jeff wrote:TX is not out of the woods for a tropical system landfall. It is early September and many systems have struck TX in Sept.

Residents should have their hurricane plans ready. Hopefully what has happened with Katrina will scare many into action when the time comes to put those plans in place.


They have had some TS's but I think only one or two hurricanes have made landfall in Texas during the past twenty years or so. They have either been been very lucky or there might be some kind of decadal pattern going on.


Jim


Well, a few more hurricanes than that.

2005 - 0 (so far)
2004 - 0
2003 - 1 (Hurricane Claudette)
2002 - 0
2001 - 0
2000 - 0
1999 - 1 (Hurricane Bret)
1998 - 0
1997 - 0
1996 - 0
1995 - 0
1994 - 0
1993 - 0
1992 - 0
1991 - 0
1990 - 0
1989 - 1 (Hurricane Chantal)
1988 - 0
1987 - 0
1986 - 1 (Hurricane Bonnie)

And then Hurricane Alicia in 1983, so 5 in 22 years.


There was actually another hurricane which made landfall in 1989. Its name was Jerry. It was the latest in a season a hurricane has made landfall in Texas (October 15th).

The pattern that late in the year just doesn't support hurricanes to make it to Texas. If you haven't seen a hurricane by mid-September in Texas, the likelyhood of one threatening after that is very low...
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southerngale
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#24 Postby southerngale » Tue Sep 06, 2005 1:46 pm

Oops, you're right Hyperstorm. My bad. Thanks for the correction.

2005 - 0 (so far)
2004 - 0
2003 - 1 (Hurricane Claudette)
2002 - 0
2001 - 0
2000 - 0
1999 - 1 (Hurricane Bret)
1998 - 0
1997 - 0
1996 - 0
1995 - 0
1994 - 0
1993 - 0
1992 - 0
1991 - 0
1990 - 0
1989 - 2 (Hurricane Chantal, Hurricane Jerry)
1988 - 0
1987 - 0
1986 - 1 (Hurricane Bonnie)

And then Hurricane Alicia in 1983, so 6 in 22 years.
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Jim Hughes
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#25 Postby Jim Hughes » Tue Sep 06, 2005 3:13 pm

Hyperstorm wrote:
southerngale wrote:
Jim Hughes wrote:
jeff wrote:TX is not out of the woods for a tropical system landfall. It is early September and many systems have struck TX in Sept.

Residents should have their hurricane plans ready. Hopefully what has happened with Katrina will scare many into action when the time comes to put those plans in place.


They have had some TS's but I think only one or two hurricanes have made landfall in Texas during the past twenty years or so. They have either been been very lucky or there might be some kind of decadal pattern going on.


Jim


Well, a few more hurricanes than that.

2005 - 0 (so far)
2004 - 0
2003 - 1 (Hurricane Claudette)
2002 - 0
2001 - 0
2000 - 0
1999 - 1 (Hurricane Bret)
1998 - 0
1997 - 0
1996 - 0
1995 - 0
1994 - 0
1993 - 0
1992 - 0
1991 - 0
1990 - 0
1989 - 1 (Hurricane Chantal)
1988 - 0
1987 - 0
1986 - 1 (Hurricane Bonnie)

And then Hurricane Alicia in 1983, so 5 in 22 years.


There was actually another hurricane which made landfall in 1989. Its name was Jerry. It was the latest in a season a hurricane has made landfall in Texas (October 15th).

The pattern that late in the year just doesn't support hurricanes to make it to Texas. If you haven't seen a hurricane by mid-September in Texas, the likelyhood of one threatening after that is very low...



I stand corrected. My memories getting bad. I need to look things up. I forgot about Claudette! But remebered 83's Alicia.

Still two in 15 years... possibly 16???? is not that bad considering how active it got after 1995. Texas has been rather lucky. Or like I said it's a decadal pattern.


Jim
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hicksta
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#26 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 06, 2005 4:00 pm

Correct we are lucky with canes, but have had many powerful TS roll threw. Remeber allison, i sure do. Took alot of lives and alot of homes.
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susan
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#27 Postby susan » Tue Sep 06, 2005 4:41 pm

Upper Texas coast has been blessed throughout the years..Yes, we have our share of TS's which kicked our butts but we have been spared the major storms....
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#28 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 06, 2005 4:57 pm

susan wrote:Upper Texas coast has been blessed throughout the years..Yes, we have our share of TS's which kicked our butts but we have been spared the major storms....


Knock on wood!
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#29 Postby susan » Tue Sep 06, 2005 9:10 pm

My bad..should never say that while the tropics are going gangbusters... :oops:
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mattpetre
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Change this thread to...

#30 Postby mattpetre » Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:55 pm

Should have knocked on wood much harder or longer...
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southerngale
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#31 Postby southerngale » Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:58 pm

*sigh*

Look at this. This shouldn't even be happening.

Image
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#32 Postby f5 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:58 pm

as of right now i am very sad to say the answer is yes
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mattpetre
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BTW

#33 Postby mattpetre » Mon Sep 19, 2005 5:06 pm

I am not trying to make light of someone else's wishing that Texas were already safe from storms, I just wanted to revive this thread to remind everyone just how amazingly different this Tropical Season seems to be. Not really amazed in a good way anymore though. A religious man begins to wonder...
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chadtm80

#34 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:27 pm

southerngale wrote:*sigh*

Look at this. This shouldn't even be happening.

Image

WOW.. Thanks for brining that up Kelly
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Re: BTW

#35 Postby mahmoo » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:34 pm

mattpetre wrote:I just wanted to revive this thread to remind everyone just how amazingly different this Tropical Season seems to be. Not really amazed in a good way anymore though. A religious man begins to wonder...


Yep.....I agree.
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