Gfs moves north

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Ivanhater
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Gfs moves north

#1 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:22 pm

gfs has now moved north and is showing a texas lousiana border
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#2 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:24 pm

gfs has now moved north and is showing a texas lousiana border


If the storm hits there NOLA would still get very nasty weather being on the East side.
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#3 Postby jrod » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:26 pm

I think we should wait till she crosses Florida before trying to narrow down landfall #2. At this point you might as well throw a dart at the gulf coast.
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#4 Postby raynpa » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:26 pm

It will go back and forth.........But Tuesday night will tell the story in my opinion.
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#5 Postby crazycajuncane » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:30 pm

raynpa wrote:It will go back and forth.........But Tuesday night will tell the story in my opinion.


I remember during Katrina.... we'll know for sure by <insert day>

<insert day arrives> we'll know by <the next day>

<the next day arrives> we'll know in 12 hours...
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#6 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:33 pm

Ok, I'm asking this on behalf of all South Floridians.....

When there's a shift in the model and you're starting a thread or renaming a thread about it, can we PLEASE specify "xyz moves north/south for 2nd landfall" or whatever? My heart literally stopped a sec when I saw the title of this thread. A northern shift for us here makes a huge difference.

Thank you :)
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#7 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:35 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:Ok, I'm asking this on behalf of all South Floridians.....

When there's a shift in the model and you're starting a thread or renaming a thread about it, can we PLEASE specify "xyz moves north/south for 2nd landfall" or whatever? My heart literally stopped a sec when I saw the title of this thread. A northern shift for us here makes a huge difference.

Thank you :)


bryan norcross said it shifted north for the keys as well
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#8 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:36 pm

Homestead should see some nasty weather later tonight as it appears some energy from Rita is now spinning outward from the center and heading towards S. Florida
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#9 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:37 pm

He did? Ok, stopped again - :eek: We finally are watching regular TV instead of Rita coverage, at least for the time being. Oy....
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#10 Postby Kennethb » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:42 pm

It's kind of like aiming a gun, back and forth, and until the trigger is pulled do you know if you were to the left or right.
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#11 Postby Kennethb » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:43 pm

It's kind of like aiming a gun, back and forth, and until the trigger is pulled do you know if you were to the left or right.
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#12 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:46 pm

TX/LA yikes! For the record, it's been a longggg time since that specific area has seen a hurricane.
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#13 Postby Windy » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:50 pm

Here's the 18Z GFS for 114 hours out, which I assume is what the original poster is talking about. I'll be more interested in the 0Z run since it's not off-hour.
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#14 Postby southerngale » Mon Sep 19, 2005 7:59 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:TX/LA yikes! For the record, it's been a longggg time since that specific area has seen a hurricane.


Hurricane Bonnie, 1986 - landfall just west of the border.

Image
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#15 Postby rockyman » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:06 pm

Over Key West:

Image
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#16 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:10 pm

southerngale wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:TX/LA yikes! For the record, it's been a longggg time since that specific area has seen a hurricane.


Hurricane Bonnie, 1986 - landfall just west of the border.

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif


A Cat 1 to boot...
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