GFS, mm5, CMC further west befor the n. turn

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
corpusbreeze
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2004 3:57 pm

GFS, mm5, CMC further west befor the n. turn

#1 Postby corpusbreeze » Tue Sep 20, 2005 12:59 am

Latest gfs, mm5 cmc, are further west before the nnw turn. I wouldnt be surprised to see the models to start to shift more west and south over time. the high looks to be stronger than forecasted. Water vaper shows a strong ridge over Texas. Its going to be a crazy week. But as of right now the biggest concern has to be the keys.
0 likes   

corpusbreeze
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2004 3:57 pm

#2 Postby corpusbreeze » Tue Sep 20, 2005 1:18 am

The ukmet is now more west an south. I wonder if the NHC will shift south on the next update?
0 likes   

Seadootoo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 36
Age: 61
Joined: Tue Jun 10, 2003 10:07 pm
Location: Corpus Christi, Texas

#3 Postby Seadootoo » Tue Sep 20, 2005 1:20 am

I hope not corpus, but either I'm watching closely.
0 likes   

User avatar
Starburst
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 484
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 11:03 pm
Location: Beeville, TX
Contact:

#4 Postby Starburst » Tue Sep 20, 2005 1:29 am

I was just wondering the same thing. I have not looked at the models how far west has it shifted?
0 likes   

User avatar
TSmith274
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 756
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 1:11 am
Location: New Orleans, La.

#5 Postby TSmith274 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 1:54 am

Not gonna hear any complaints from me. :wink:
0 likes   

corpusbreeze
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2004 3:57 pm

#6 Postby corpusbreeze » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:00 am

Starburst wrote:I was just wondering the same thing. I have not looked at the models how far west has it shifted?
they are significant shifts that shows how uncertain the 5 day forecast is right now. I was surprised how far north the NHC shifted the forecast so far north in just under 24 hrs. from yesterday. Just tells me that all of the the Texas coast needs to pay close attention to Rita.
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#7 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:04 am

yeah, we will see many shifts from now to then...keep watching and start prepairing
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cajungal, MarioProtVI and 140 guests