JB says strongest Hurricane ever for Texas

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Stratosphere747
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#41 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:07 pm

BReb wrote:From looking at the map of Texas, there is VERY little of significance between Corpus Cristi and Galveston- a very large area. Surprisingly so- it must be the least developed large stretch of coastline in the continental US.

As long as Rita lands in this area, I don't see a whole lot that could be destroyed.


I find your remark offensive....

Brazoria and Matagorda county are far from "VERY little of significance"
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#42 Postby gilbert88 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:12 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
BReb wrote:From looking at the map of Texas, there is VERY little of significance between Corpus Cristi and Galveston- a very large area. Surprisingly so- it must be the least developed large stretch of coastline in the continental US.

As long as Rita lands in this area, I don't see a whole lot that could be destroyed.


I find your remark offensive....

Brazoria and Matagorda county are far from "VERY little of significance"


That type of stupid -removed- has to stop. I'm tired of people wishing this thing upon Mexico or any other "unpopulated area".
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Mac

#43 Postby Mac » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:13 pm

gilbert88 wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
BReb wrote:From looking at the map of Texas, there is VERY little of significance between Corpus Cristi and Galveston- a very large area. Surprisingly so- it must be the least developed large stretch of coastline in the continental US.

As long as Rita lands in this area, I don't see a whole lot that could be destroyed.


I find your remark offensive....

Brazoria and Matagorda county are far from "VERY little of significance"


That type of stupid -removed- has to stop. I'm tired of people wishing this thing upon Mexico or any other "unpopulated area".


How do you feel about ex-wives? Are we allowed to wish it upon them????
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#44 Postby collegebroke » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:16 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
BReb wrote:From looking at the map of Texas, there is VERY little of significance between Corpus Cristi and Galveston- a very large area. Surprisingly so- it must be the least developed large stretch of coastline in the continental US.

As long as Rita lands in this area, I don't see a whole lot that could be destroyed.


I find your remark offensive....

Brazoria and Matagorda county are far from "VERY little of significance"


Agreed. Between the refineries, chemical plants, and agriculture, this could be a significant disruption to the gasoline and chemical supply. If you consider that many of the chemicals that are made in this area are a major ingredient to plastics, you could also have a major economic impact on manufacturing and durable goods prices. And BTW, lets not forget the nuclear plant. When Claudette made landfall in the same general vicinity, I was affected just in my school classes that I take online for about two weeks. The area is one of the economic survey areas that is identified for the Bureau of Labor Statistics. While not Houston, it's definitely not insignificant.
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#45 Postby OtherHD » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:17 pm

BReb wrote:From looking at the map of Texas, there is VERY little of significance between Corpus Cristi and Galveston- a very large area. Surprisingly so- it must be the least developed large stretch of coastline in the continental US.

As long as Rita lands in this area, I don't see a whole lot that could be destroyed.


Clearly you've never been to Texas. Have you ever heard of Brazosport? And had you looked well enough at your map, you'd know that it's actually spelled "Christi."
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#46 Postby jasons2k » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:25 pm

Brazosport collectively is home to THE largest petrochemical complex in the WORLD.
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#47 Postby Texian » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:26 pm

Unfortunately, the area under the gun is hardly unpopulated. Texas has lots of rural communities and towns and there will be thousands impacted in this area. If it were to hit in the King Ranch area it would be a different story, but the area Joe B is forecasting is not good...Not wishing the storm on the Kingsville or Raymondville population either! Texian
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#48 Postby wlfpack81 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:38 pm

This bickering back and forth needs to STOP NOW!!!. I had enough of that crap w/Katrina (myself being guilty of stirring the pot at times). I know this situation is very stressful for those in Texas are those who may have family in Texas but let's try to keep calm heads here.

Whether this storm hits a populated or unpopulated area people's lives will be a stake and that's what's important. No one should make light of the possibility of a strike well SW of Hou b/c as others have mentioned it'll still have an impact on the nation due to the oil industry etc. Either way it looks like in the next 3 to 4 days somewhere from middle to upper TX will be impacted and lives may be lost and the economy could be affected again.
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#49 Postby f5 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:56 pm

here where i live it feels like july here with temps running 95-100 we could use a little rain but we don't need it from a distructive hurricane
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#50 Postby inotherwords » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:04 pm

Is it going to hit Crawford? That's all I want to know.
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#51 Postby njoynit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:15 pm

I'm actually looking forward to the rain,,,,but NOT the wind.Glad I'm at least inland.I haven't seen rain since Katrina and it was just a stray outter band with maybe 18 drops of rain if that.Claudette gave me some damage.I had rain in my liveingroom& a tree snapped my power pole and had power lines leaping on ground and on roof for 4 hours.I shop vace'd my couch and floor& couldn't find anything big enough to catch the rain while it ran like a river through the roof.We replaced with a metal roof.


I've always thought Galveston was a hurricane magnent....
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#52 Postby f5 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:25 pm

inotherwords wrote:Is it going to hit Crawford? That's all I want to know.


Crawford is to far inland the left would probably accuse Karl Rove of geographical playing tactics
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#53 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:33 pm

Its gone political!

Thread lock needed. You guys above obviously didn't read the threads at the top.
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His column

#54 Postby Fego » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:40 pm

From Accuweather... Joe Bastardi column:

TUESDAY 4PM. KATRINA BEAT CAMILLE....RITA TO BEAT CARLA.

Rita is now intensifying rapidly and its becoming a when and where issue for the Texas coast. I have NO CHANGES ON THE IDEA OF THE TRACK AND WHERE IT HITS, but may have to monkey with timing tomorrow. The weakness in my forecasts this year in the gulf have been timing in the atlantic timing and over forecasting intensity, but the gulf storms have all gotten as strong as opined. So let me say this about Rita...she will break northwest gulf pressure records, and I believe now pressures will get to cat 5 levels. I believe this will be the strongest hurricane to ever hit Texas.

It will be a massive storm too, with hurricane force winds extending out 125 miles to the northeast and 75 to the southwest, gales over 200 to the northeast and over 125 to the southwest. There will be plenty of time to take cover and see it coming. The lat/long right now and track speak for themselves as to where I think the hit is, but again it may be a bit later.

I wanted to get this out now, because of my extreme concern for what I believe is 2002 all over, except finishing the deal. Remember in Sept of 2002, the forecasted 3 day tracks and intensity of Isadore and Lili would have meant two cat 4 hits on the gulf coast. That month has since been referred to by me as the "there by the grace of God go I" for I, and really showed us what can happen. With Katrina having hit as at least a strong 4, and now Rita ramping up and threatening, then the warning shot of that month has turned into the real deal now.

GLOBAL WARMING: Please dont. When Rita is all done, just as Katrina, please consider that in Katrina, a situation that should have happened long ago actually happened, and really, was not even the perfect set up. Should a cat 4 follow a track like 1947 or 1926 into New Orleans, then it wouldnt have been just levies breaking, but simply the water pouring over the top, and perhaps the whole levy system collapsing. A city built under sea level relying on man to defeat nature is a city living on borrowed time. And the upper Texas gulf coast, not hit by a major hurricane since 1983, has been way way way past due. When its all said and done, even if its as bad as I say, then over the long haul, its simply nature evening things out and reminding us of who we are in the face of the infinite.



ciao for now ****
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#55 Postby arcticfire » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:43 pm

djtil wrote:she has about a 36 hour window to hit cat 5, after than lower SST to the west of current location makes it extremely unlikely.


I don't think SST's are the primary inhibitor of cat 5 from what I understand. Western GOM temps are right around 30C , that should support a 5 I would think. I agree with you thow , I don't think she is gonna make it up to a 5. It's in ther realm of possibility but I'm pretty set on a 4 right now maby 3 at landfall. Just my non-porf hunch
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#56 Postby MGC » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:56 pm

Yes, the SST in the W GOM are still around 30C sufficent to support a Cat-5. I think dry air will effect Rita as she approaches the coast......MGC
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#57 Postby terstorm1012 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:12 pm

If you don't like Fox News he is also on CNBC. I saw him say the same thing there.
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#58 Postby smashmode » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:13 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Typical JB. "probably" cat 5 hit in TX, according to him. Same ole scare tactics as ever.


People NEED to be scared.

you saw the crapfest in Nola/MS because people we'rent scared enough.

I am all for forecasters predicting doom and gloom..if that drives people out of the areas.
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#59 Postby inotherwords » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:19 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Its gone political!

Thread lock needed. You guys above obviously didn't read the threads at the top.


My post was not political. I have in-laws in Crawford and are concerned for their safety. Some idiot assumed I was talking about Bush when I wasn't.
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#60 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:23 pm

inotherwords wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Its gone political!

Thread lock needed. You guys above obviously didn't read the threads at the top.


My post was not political. I have in-laws in Crawford and are concerned for their safety. Some idiot assumed I was talking about Bush when I wasn't.

Gotcha. Sorry...
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