#54 Postby Fego » Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:40 pm
From Accuweather... Joe Bastardi column:
TUESDAY 4PM. KATRINA BEAT CAMILLE....RITA TO BEAT CARLA.
Rita is now intensifying rapidly and its becoming a when and where issue for the Texas coast. I have NO CHANGES ON THE IDEA OF THE TRACK AND WHERE IT HITS, but may have to monkey with timing tomorrow. The weakness in my forecasts this year in the gulf have been timing in the atlantic timing and over forecasting intensity, but the gulf storms have all gotten as strong as opined. So let me say this about Rita...she will break northwest gulf pressure records, and I believe now pressures will get to cat 5 levels. I believe this will be the strongest hurricane to ever hit Texas.
It will be a massive storm too, with hurricane force winds extending out 125 miles to the northeast and 75 to the southwest, gales over 200 to the northeast and over 125 to the southwest. There will be plenty of time to take cover and see it coming. The lat/long right now and track speak for themselves as to where I think the hit is, but again it may be a bit later.
I wanted to get this out now, because of my extreme concern for what I believe is 2002 all over, except finishing the deal. Remember in Sept of 2002, the forecasted 3 day tracks and intensity of Isadore and Lili would have meant two cat 4 hits on the gulf coast. That month has since been referred to by me as the "there by the grace of God go I" for I, and really showed us what can happen. With Katrina having hit as at least a strong 4, and now Rita ramping up and threatening, then the warning shot of that month has turned into the real deal now.
GLOBAL WARMING: Please dont. When Rita is all done, just as Katrina, please consider that in Katrina, a situation that should have happened long ago actually happened, and really, was not even the perfect set up. Should a cat 4 follow a track like 1947 or 1926 into New Orleans, then it wouldnt have been just levies breaking, but simply the water pouring over the top, and perhaps the whole levy system collapsing. A city built under sea level relying on man to defeat nature is a city living on borrowed time. And the upper Texas gulf coast, not hit by a major hurricane since 1983, has been way way way past due. When its all said and done, even if its as bad as I say, then over the long haul, its simply nature evening things out and reminding us of who we are in the face of the infinite.
ciao for now ****
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