Someone please tell me if that is a WNW wobble

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Mississippi Storm Magnet
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Someone please tell me if that is a WNW wobble

#1 Postby Mississippi Storm Magnet » Wed Sep 21, 2005 2:38 pm

The last 3 IR frames make me nervous. That is a monster. Already had my share.
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#2 Postby SamSagnella » Wed Sep 21, 2005 2:44 pm

Rita will not make landfall in MS, of that I am certain.
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#3 Postby djtil » Wed Sep 21, 2005 2:50 pm

another bobble thread?

maybe we need a whole bobble forum.
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#4 Postby chris_fit » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:14 pm

That's one healthy wobble
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carve
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#5 Postby carve » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:22 pm

I'm no professional...but that looks like a definate nw movement..does not look like a woble...any comments?
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#6 Postby dhweather » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:25 pm

SamSagnella wrote:Rita will not make landfall in MS, of that I am certain.


You can't say that for certain, and only being close will be catastrophic.
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#7 Postby jojo » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:28 pm

Looks to be more than a wobble for sure. Have a look on here -

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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#8 Postby carve » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:35 pm

Like i said..not a professional..just going by what i see.
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#9 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:39 pm

last vortex 24.35N and 86.35W 11AM update had 24.30 and 85.90

That seems to be right on course doesn't it. .5N and .45W or 280*
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#10 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:40 pm

It's not supposed to have a northern component yet. It's too soon!
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#11 Postby raynpa » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:44 pm

that high appears to be weakning and moving east
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#12 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:45 pm

southerngale wrote:It's not supposed to have a northern component yet. It's too soon!


NHC had it at 24.5 at 12hours, and that was 6 hours ago. So technically it should be at 24.4 at advisory.
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#13 Postby Charles-KD5ZSM » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:45 pm

VERY obvious its going well north of forecast points
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#14 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:46 pm

dwg71 wrote:last vortex 24.35N and 86.35W 11AM update had 24.30 and 85.90

That seems to be right on course doesn't it. .5N and .45W or 280*


Image

This is from about 4:32 EDT.
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#15 Postby pgoss11 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:48 pm

It certainly does appear to have some northerly component. Whether this is just a temporary jog or a trend- we will have to wait and see. Nothing would surprise me this year!!
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#16 Postby mvtrucking » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:52 pm

She has slowly began heading north of those forecast points for several hours now. I wonder what the models will show if she continues this for several more hours? :eek:
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#17 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Sep 21, 2005 4:02 pm

There has definately been a WNW trend over the past few hours. She's still making me nervous here in south central Louisiana.
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#18 Postby Mississippi Storm Magnet » Wed Sep 21, 2005 4:05 pm

SamSagnella wrote:Rita will not make landfall in MS, of that I am certain.


Easy to say when you're in Connecticuit, and your house doesn't look like this:

Image
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Image[/url]
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#19 Postby Amanzi » Wed Sep 21, 2005 4:17 pm

MSMagnet... Is that your home? :cry: :cry: I can understand you being scared, I would feel the same way. I cant believe how high the water was, as evident in the last picture!!! Very scary and heart breaking.


To get back on topic. I think we will have to wait a bit and see if Rita wobbles back westward... I hope she just wobbles herself in a hundred loops right where she is and kills herself... Kind of like a upwelling noose!
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#20 Postby Mississippi Storm Magnet » Wed Sep 21, 2005 4:53 pm

Amanzi wrote:MSMagnet... Is that your home? :cry: :cry: I can understand you being scared, I would feel the same way. I cant believe how high the water was, as evident in the last picture!!! Very scary and heart breaking.


To get back on topic. I think we will have to wait a bit and see if Rita wobbles back westward... I hope she just wobbles herself in a hundred loops right where she is and kills herself... Kind of like a upwelling noose!


Yes, that was my home. I still cannot believe I had 8 feet of water in there. You can see that it stopped the clock at 11:05 am. It placed a bag of dog food on the center island. Lots of strange things.

Looks like Rita is trying to wobble west again.
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